Nathan Mansfield vs Leevi Saatela
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Leevi Saatela, giving them a 50% chance to win against Nathan Mansfield (50%). Mansfield is 2-8 in their last 10, Saatela 2-1.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Leevi Saatela a 50% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Leevi Saatela at -114 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Nathan Mansfield | Leevi Saatela | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6051 | 6013 |
| Tour rank | ATP #2549 | ATP #2832 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 2-1 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 6 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 6-18 | 2-1 |
| UTR | 11.95 | 11.97 |
Head to head
Nathan Mansfield and Leevi Saatela haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Nathan Mansfield, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Mihai Alexandru Coman | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Miguel Semedo | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Oriol Font | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Leonid Sheyngezikht | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Cian Mcdonnell | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Ondrej Hujo | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Aleksandar Mitev | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Max Frohlich | W | 3-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Levi Saatela | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
Leevi Saatela, last 3
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Max Frohlich | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Karol Filar | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Nathan Mansfield | Leevi Saatela |
|---|---|---|
| Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
| Karol Filar | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Max Frohlich | 1-0 W 3-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Nathan Mansfield 50% at -130
Nathan Mansfield vs Leevi Saatela: quick answers
Who will win Nathan Mansfield vs Leevi Saatela?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Leevi Saatela, giving them a 50% chance to win against Nathan Mansfield (50%).
Have Nathan Mansfield and Leevi Saatela played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Nathan Mansfield or Leevi Saatela?
Nathan Mansfield is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Losses). Leevi Saatela is 2-1 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Nathan Mansfield and Leevi Saatela?
Nathan Mansfield is rated 6051 (ATP #2549) and Leevi Saatela is rated 6013 (ATP #2832). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Nathan Mansfield vs Leevi Saatela?
Nathan Mansfield is priced at -130 and Leevi Saatela at -114, which implies a 57% and 53% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.