Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma

WTA Lexington (X) (USA), Hard. Thursday, October 8, 2026, 08:50.

Updated

Madison Brengle beat Lea Ma 7-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Brengle is 6-4 in their last 10, Ma 7-3.

Result: Madison Brengle beat Lea Ma 7-6, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Madison Brengle a 58% favorite. At +172 the sportsbook implies 37% for Lea Ma, 5 points below the model's 42%.

Model
58%
Book
69%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Lea Ma +172
Model
42%
Book
37%

Model minus book: +5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lea Ma at +172 · Model track record

Player comparison

Madison BrengleLea Ma
Tennis Gauge rating66896644
Tour rankWTA #293WTA #340
Last 10 matches6-47-3
Last 30 days7-24-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Wins
Season record51-3134-26
UTR11.5711.5
Elo (52 weeks)15481416
Best surfaceClayHard
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Tied 1-1.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Madison Brengle7-6, 6-2USA Lexington
14.06.2026Lea Ma6-3, 7-6USA Decatur

Recent form

Madison Brengle, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Yuki Naito L6-1, 6-2
27.10.2026Lea Nilsson W6-3, 7-6
24.10.2026Ella Mcdonald L7-5, 6-1
23.10.2026Elizabeth Mandlik W7-5, 2-6, 6-2
22.10.2026Thea Frodin W7-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Raquel Caballero Chica W6-0, 7-5
16.10.2026Sloane Stephens L6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Hanna Chang W6-4, 6-1
11.10.2026Astra Sharma L6-3, 6-2
09.10.2026Lea Ma W7-6, 6-2

Lea Ma, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Teah Chavez W6-0, 6-4
27.10.2026Rasheeda Mcadoo W6-0, 6-3
23.10.2026Astra Sharma L6-1, 6-7, 6-1
22.10.2026Allegra Korpanec Davies W6-2, 6-3
18.10.2026Connie Ma L1-6, 6-3, 7-6
17.10.2026Salma Drugdova W7-6, 6-1
15.10.2026Sydney Jara W7-6, 6-1
09.10.2026Madison Brengle L7-6, 6-2
08.10.2026Hina Inoue W3-6, 6-2, 6-0
06.10.2026Linea Bajraliu W6-4, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMadison BrengleLea Ma
Akasha Urhobo 0-2
L 7-6, 6-3, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-2
0-2
L 6-2, L 5-7, 6-4, 6-3
Amelia Honer 0-1
L 6-5
1-0
W 6-2, 4-6, 6-0
Astra Sharma 0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-1, 6-7, 6-1
Ava Markham 1-0
W 6-0, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 3-0
Dana Guzman 1-0
W 2-0
0-1
L 6-4, 1-6, 6-2
Elizabeth Mandlik 1-0
W 7-5, 2-6, 6-2
0-2
L 6-3, 4-6, 6-1, L 7-5, 1-6, 6-3
Elvina Kalieva 0-1
L 6-2, 6-0
1-0
W 6-4, 2-6, 6-1
Gabriela Lee 1-0
W 5-7, 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
Gina Feistel 1-0
W 6-4, 5-7, 7-6
1-0
W 6-0, 1-6, 6-4
Julieta Pareja 1-0
W 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
Katrina Scott 2-0
W 6-1, 6-4, W 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 7-5
Lina Glushko 1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 2-6, 6-1
Malaika Rapolu 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
Maya Iyengar 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-2
Tatjana Maria 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
Victoria Hu 2-0
W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-4

Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma: quick answers

Who won Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma?

Madison Brengle beat Lea Ma 7-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Madison Brengle and Lea Ma?

They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Madison Brengle 7-6, 6-2 at USA Lexington.

Who is in better form, Madison Brengle or Lea Ma?

Madison Brengle is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lea Ma is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Madison Brengle and Lea Ma?

Madison Brengle is rated 6689 (WTA #293) and Lea Ma is rated 6644 (WTA #340). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma?

Madison Brengle is priced at -227 and Lea Ma at +172, which implies a 69% and 37% chance to win. The model rates Lea Ma 5 points higher than the odds do (42% vs 37%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.