Nanari Katsumi vs Larisa Arnautovic

WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 04:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Nanari Katsumi, giving them a 66% chance to win against Larisa Arnautovic (34%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Katsumi is 5-5 in their last 10, Arnautovic 3-7. At +360, the odds imply 22% for Larisa Arnautovic, below the model's 34%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nanari Katsumi a 66% favorite. At +360 the sportsbook implies 22% for Larisa Arnautovic, 13 points below the model's 34%.

Model
66%
Book
88%

Model minus book: -22 pts

Model
34%
Book
22%

Model minus book: +13 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Larisa Arnautovic at +360 · Model track record

Player comparison

Nanari KatsumiLarisa Arnautovic
Tennis Gauge rating62645712
Tour rankWTA #1108WTA #3260
Last 10 matches5-53-7
Last 30 days1-10-1
Current streak1 Loss4 Losses
Season record26-305-8
UTR10.249.21

Head to head

Tied 1-1.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Nanari Katsumi6-2, 6-2Australia Sydney
10.11.2025Larisa Arnautovic6-2, 6-3Australia Brisbane

Recent form

Nanari Katsumi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Renee Alame L6-2, 5-7, 14-12
25.10.2026Ai Maruyama W6-1, 6-2
22.10.2026Hikaru Sato L6-1, 7-5
21.10.2026Laquisa Khan W4-6, 6-4, 6-3
20.10.2026Larisa Arnautovic W6-2, 6-2
22.09.2026Wozuko Mdlulwa L6-1, 6-4
18.09.2026Yekaterina Dmitrichenko L6-2, 6-1
17.09.2026Julie Myatovic W6-1, 6-3
16.09.2026Mandegar Farzami W6-1, 6-2
10.09.2026Andre Lukosiute L6-3, 6-2

Larisa Arnautovic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Kirra Bond Scott L6-3, 3-6, 10-8
20.10.2026Nanari Katsumi L6-2, 6-2
12.09.2026Laquisa Khan L7-6, 6-4
11.09.2026Bridget Mihulka L6-7, 6-3, 6-3
09.09.2026Sara Mickoska W6-4, 6-2
08.09.2026Bhavya Bhardwaj W6-2, 7-6
07.9.2026Nikitha Desai W7-5, 6-4
19.03.2026Amy Stevens L6-4, 6-3
18.03.2026Naoko Eto W7-5, 6-1
08.02.2026Jizelle Sibai L6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentNanari KatsumiLarisa Arnautovic
Laquisa Khan 1-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4

Nanari Katsumi vs Larisa Arnautovic: quick answers

Who will win Nanari Katsumi vs Larisa Arnautovic?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Nanari Katsumi, giving them a 66% chance to win against Larisa Arnautovic (34%).

What is the head-to-head record between Nanari Katsumi and Larisa Arnautovic?

They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Nanari Katsumi 6-2, 6-2 at Australia Sydney.

Who is in better form, Nanari Katsumi or Larisa Arnautovic?

Nanari Katsumi is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Larisa Arnautovic is 3-7 (current streak: 4 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Nanari Katsumi and Larisa Arnautovic?

Nanari Katsumi is rated 6264 (WTA #1108) and Larisa Arnautovic is rated 5712 (WTA #3260). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Nanari Katsumi vs Larisa Arnautovic?

Nanari Katsumi is priced at -714 and Larisa Arnautovic at +360, which implies a 88% and 22% chance to win. The model rates Larisa Arnautovic 13 points higher than the odds do (34% vs 22%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.