Weronika Ewald vs Lara Wagner

WTA Marsa (Malta), Hard. Friday, October 30, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Weronika Ewald, giving them a 94% chance to win against Lara Wagner (6%). Weronika Ewald leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ewald is 6-4 in their last 10, Wagner 6-4.

This preview is from Friday, October 30, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Weronika Ewald a 94% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
94%
Book
95%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
6%
Book
14%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Weronika Ewald at -2000 · Model track record

Player comparison

Weronika EwaldLara Wagner
Tennis Gauge rating65166081
Tour rankWTA #524WTA #1769
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days4-22-1
Current streak2 Wins1 Loss
Season record31-248-4
UTR10.869.45
Elo (52 weeks)1333–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Weronika Ewald leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
29.10.2026Weronika Ewald6-1, 6-1Malta Marsa

Recent form

Weronika Ewald, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Lara Wagner W6-1, 6-1
28.10.2026Kate Bierhoff W6-4, 7-6
15.10.2026Chenting Zhu L5-7, 6-3, 7-5
14.10.2026Marta Soriano Santiago W6-2, 6-2
09.10.2026Zuzanna Pawlikowska L2-6, 6-3, 7-5
08.10.2026Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W6-2, 7-5
07.10.2026Abigeyle Bhopal W6-1, 6-0
26.08.2026Katarina Zavatska L6-3, 6-3
22.08.2026Teodora Miron L6-3, 6-0
21.08.2026Camilla Zanolini W6-3, 6-2

Lara Wagner, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Weronika Ewald L6-1, 6-1
28.10.2026Tamara Sramkova W4-6, 6-4, 6-0
26.10.2026Valentina Merku W6-3, 7-6
18.10.2026Gloria Reusch L6-0, 6-3
10.09.2026Saoirse Breen L6-1, 6-3
09.09.2026Stefaniya Neporent W6-4, 2-6, 6-3
08.09.2026Justine Bretnacher W6-4, 6-2
07.9.2026Joody Elkady W3-6, 6-4, 10-4
06.09.2026Fatema Khairy W6-0, 6-1
01.09.2026Hania Abouelsaad L6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-29: WTA Marsa (Malta), model gave Weronika Ewald 94% at -2000

Weronika Ewald vs Lara Wagner: quick answers

Who will win Weronika Ewald vs Lara Wagner?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Weronika Ewald, giving them a 94% chance to win against Lara Wagner (6%).

What is the head-to-head record between Weronika Ewald and Lara Wagner?

Weronika Ewald leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Weronika Ewald 6-1, 6-1 at Malta Marsa.

Who is in better form, Weronika Ewald or Lara Wagner?

Weronika Ewald is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Lara Wagner is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Weronika Ewald and Lara Wagner?

Weronika Ewald is rated 6516 (WTA #524) and Lara Wagner is rated 6081 (WTA #1769). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Weronika Ewald vs Lara Wagner?

Weronika Ewald is priced at -2000 and Lara Wagner at +634, which implies a 95% and 14% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.