Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matteo Berrettini, giving them a 65% chance to win against Kyrian Jacquet (35%). Kyrian Jacquet leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Berrettini is 5-5 in their last 10, Jacquet 6-4. At -120, the odds imply 55% for Matteo Berrettini, below the model's 65%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a 65% favorite. At -120 the sportsbook implies 55% for Matteo Berrettini, 10 points below the model's 65%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matteo Berrettini at -120 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Matteo Berrettini | Kyrian Jacquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6903 | 6832 |
| Tour rank | ATP #40 | ATP #96 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 8-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 27-20 | 43-21 |
| UTR | 15.8 | 15.17 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1822 | 1716 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Kyrian Jacquet leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | 7-6, 7-5 | France Lyon |
Recent form
Matteo Berrettini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 5-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 03.09.2026 | Mariano Navone | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Stan Wawrinka | W | 7-6, 7-6, 6-0 |
| 16.08.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
Kyrian Jacquet, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Matteo Berrettini | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Michael Mmoh | W | 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Tianhui Zhang | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Jaume Munar | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Luciano Darderi | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Holger Rune | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Matteo Berrettini | Kyrian Jacquet |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Dusan Lajovic | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Emilio Nava | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-5, 6-7, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 3-6, 5-7, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Taro Daniel | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Titouan Droguet | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet: quick answers
Who will win Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Matteo Berrettini, giving them a 65% chance to win against Kyrian Jacquet (35%).
What is the head-to-head record between Matteo Berrettini and Kyrian Jacquet?
Kyrian Jacquet leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Kyrian Jacquet 7-6, 7-5 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Matteo Berrettini or Kyrian Jacquet?
Matteo Berrettini is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Kyrian Jacquet is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Matteo Berrettini and Kyrian Jacquet?
Matteo Berrettini is rated 6903 (ATP #40) and Kyrian Jacquet is rated 6832 (ATP #96). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Matteo Berrettini is priced at -120 and Kyrian Jacquet at -103, which implies a 55% and 51% chance to win. The model rates Matteo Berrettini 10 points higher than the odds do (65% vs 55%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.