Kristjan Tamm vs Xing Dao Chen
Updated
Kristjan Tamm beat Xing Dao Chen 6-1, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Kristjan Tamm leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Tamm is 4-6 in their last 10, Chen 1-9.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kristjan Tamm a 56% favorite. At +229 the sportsbook implies 30% for Xing Dao Chen, 14 points below the model's 44%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Xing Dao Chen at +229 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kristjan Tamm | Xing Dao Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6334 | 6147 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1026 | ATP #1904 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 1-9 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 7 Losses |
| Season record | 15-16 | 20-25 |
| UTR | 12.88 | 12.5 |
Head to head
Kristjan Tamm leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Kristjan Tamm | 6-1, 6-4 | China Qian Daohu |
Recent form
Kristjan Tamm, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | M Rifqi Fitriadi | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Jaden Dewandaka Tan | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Timofei Derepasko | L | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Anton Shepp | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Xing Dao Chen | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Naoya Honda | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
Xing Dao Chen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Xirui Han | L | 1-6, 6-4, 3-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Kristjan Tamm | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Siu Chi Cheng | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Dong Ju Kim | L | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 22.09.2026 | Filip Peliwo | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Tsung Hao Huang | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Yuta Tomida | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Xirui Han | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 26.08.2026 | Hanyi Liu | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.08.2026 | Zhiheng Xia | L | 6-3, 2-6, 1-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Kristjan Tamm | Xing Dao Chen |
|---|---|---|
| Dong Ju Kim | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-0 |
| Filip Peliwo | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-2, L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Yuta Tomida | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Qian Daohu (China), model gave Kristjan Tamm 56% at -385
Kristjan Tamm vs Xing Dao Chen: quick answers
Who won Kristjan Tamm vs Xing Dao Chen?
Kristjan Tamm beat Xing Dao Chen 6-1, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Kristjan Tamm and Xing Dao Chen?
Kristjan Tamm leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Kristjan Tamm 6-1, 6-4 at China Qian Daohu.
Who is in better form, Kristjan Tamm or Xing Dao Chen?
Kristjan Tamm is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Xing Dao Chen is 1-9 (current streak: 7 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kristjan Tamm and Xing Dao Chen?
Kristjan Tamm is rated 6334 (ATP #1026) and Xing Dao Chen is rated 6147 (ATP #1904). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kristjan Tamm vs Xing Dao Chen?
Kristjan Tamm is priced at -385 and Xing Dao Chen at +229, which implies a 79% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Xing Dao Chen 14 points higher than the odds do (44% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.