Tennis Gauge

Kris Van Wyk vs Mathys Picard

ATP Monastir (X) I (Tunisia), Hard. Thursday, October 8, 2026, 02:30.

Updated

Kris Van Wyk beat Mathys Picard 6-7, 6-3, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mathys Picard at 50%. Kris Van Wyk leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Wyk is 6-4 in their last 10, Picard 5-5.

Result: Kris Van Wyk beat Mathys Picard 6-7, 6-3, 7-6. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Mathys Picard.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Mathys Picard a 50% favorite. At +125 the sportsbook implies 44% for Mathys Picard, 6 points below the model's 50%.

Kris Van Wyk -182
Model
50%
Book
65%

Model minus book: -15 pts

Mathys Picard +125
Model
50%
Book
44%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mathys Picard at +125 · Model track record

Player comparison

Kris Van WykMathys Picard
Tennis Gauge rating63676312
Tour rankATP #897ATP #1112
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days8-42-1
Current streak2 Wins2 Losses
Season record18-2130-20
UTR12.9713.26

Head to head

Kris Van Wyk leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Kris Van Wyk6-7, 6-3, 7-6Tunisia Monastir

Recent form

Kris Van Wyk, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Toufik Sahtali W6-2, 6-0
27.10.2026David Petrovic W6-0, 6-1
21.10.2026Leo Borg L6-4, 6-2
15.10.2026Luca Wiedenmann L6-2, 6-2
14.10.2026Maximilian Figl W6-1, 6-3
10.10.2026John Echeverria L6-1, 6-2
09.10.2026Mathys Picard W6-7, 6-3, 7-6
08.10.2026Anas Mazdrashki W6-2, 7-6
07.10.2026Adan Freire Da Silva W6-4, 6-4
04.10.2026Tuncay Duran L6-0, 1-6, 6-3

Mathys Picard, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Leo Borg L7-5, 6-4
16.10.2026Leo Borg L7-5, 6-4
15.10.2026Carles Hernandez W6-3, 6-4
14.10.2026Alvaro Peiro Serrano W4-6, 6-4, 6-2
09.10.2026Kris Van Wyk L6-7, 6-3, 7-6
08.10.2026Viktor Frydrych W6-0, 6-3
06.10.2026Maxime Chazal W5-2
16.09.2026Daniel Domingos L6-1, 6-3
06.09.2026Noah Boutleux L4-6, 6-1, 1-0
05.09.2026Sacha Grandvincent W7-5, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentKris Van WykMathys Picard
Adan Freire Da Silva 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4		 0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
Leo Borg 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2		 0-2
L 7-5, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-4
Maxime Chazal 1-0
W 1-6, 6-4, 6-2		 1-0
W 5-2
Tuncay Duran 0-2
L 6-0, 1-6, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-2		 0-1
L 6-0, 2-1

Kris Van Wyk vs Mathys Picard: quick answers

Who won Kris Van Wyk vs Mathys Picard?

Kris Van Wyk beat Mathys Picard 6-7, 6-3, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mathys Picard at 50%.

What is the head-to-head record between Kris Van Wyk and Mathys Picard?

Kris Van Wyk leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Kris Van Wyk 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 at Tunisia Monastir.

Who is in better form, Kris Van Wyk or Mathys Picard?

Kris Van Wyk is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Mathys Picard is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Kris Van Wyk and Mathys Picard?

Kris Van Wyk is rated 6367 (ATP #897) and Mathys Picard is rated 6312 (ATP #1112). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Kris Van Wyk vs Mathys Picard?

Kris Van Wyk is priced at -182 and Mathys Picard at +125, which implies a 65% and 44% chance to win. The model rates Mathys Picard 6 points higher than the odds do (50% vs 44%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.

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