Shigeta Mua vs Kokoa Nakao
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Shigeta Mua, giving them a 76% chance to win against Kokoa Nakao (24%). Shigeta Mua leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mua is 3-7 in their last 10, Nakao 2-8. At +416, the odds imply 19% for Kokoa Nakao, below the model's 24%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Shigeta Mua a 76% favorite. At +416 the sportsbook implies 19% for Kokoa Nakao, 4 points below the model's 24%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kokoa Nakao at +416 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Shigeta Mua | Kokoa Nakao | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6030 | 5717 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1995 | WTA #3238 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 30-29 | 5-14 |
| UTR | 9.77 | 7.93 |
Head to head
Shigeta Mua leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Shigeta Mua | 6-3, 6-4 | Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Shigeta Mua, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Tsuki Shibutani | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Kokoa Nakao | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Uri Goshima | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Mana Kawamura | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 18.07.2026 | Seri Nayuki | L | 6-1, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 18.07.2026 | Rio Maeda | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.07.2026 | Yui Ohwaki | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 15.07.2026 | Chiharu Kobayashi | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 14.07.2026 | Kaili Demi Teso | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 13.07.2026 | Yui Komada | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
Kokoa Nakao, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Minori Natsuka | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Uri Goshima | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Shigeta Mua | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sayuri Hata | L | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Honami Sodeyama | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Nana Kawagishi | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Ayaho Okude | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 07.9.2026 | Eunyeong Park | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 06.09.2026 | Eun Se Jang | W | 3-6, 6-1, 10-3 |
| 30.08.2026 | Sun Min Ha | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Shigeta Mua | Kokoa Nakao |
|---|---|---|
| Ayumi Miyamoto | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
| Minori Natsuka | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Nana Kawagishi | 0-2 L 6-1, 6-0, L 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Natsuho Arakawa | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
| Uri Goshima | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Yui Ohwaki | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Yuzuha Negishi | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-0, 10-7 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Shigeta Mua 76% at -1000
Shigeta Mua vs Kokoa Nakao: quick answers
Who will win Shigeta Mua vs Kokoa Nakao?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Shigeta Mua, giving them a 76% chance to win against Kokoa Nakao (24%).
What is the head-to-head record between Shigeta Mua and Kokoa Nakao?
Shigeta Mua leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Shigeta Mua 6-3, 6-4 at Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Shigeta Mua or Kokoa Nakao?
Shigeta Mua is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Kokoa Nakao is 2-8 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Shigeta Mua and Kokoa Nakao?
Shigeta Mua is rated 6030 (WTA #1995) and Kokoa Nakao is rated 5717 (WTA #3238). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Shigeta Mua vs Kokoa Nakao?
Shigeta Mua is priced at -1000 and Kokoa Nakao at +416, which implies a 91% and 19% chance to win. The model rates Kokoa Nakao 4 points higher than the odds do (24% vs 19%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.