Kokoa Nakao vs Minori Natsuka
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Minori Natsuka, giving them a 63% chance to win against Kokoa Nakao (37%). Minori Natsuka leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nakao is 2-8 in their last 10, Natsuka 4-6. At -143, the odds imply 59% for Minori Natsuka, below the model's 63%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Minori Natsuka a 63% favorite. At -143 the sportsbook implies 59% for Minori Natsuka, 4 points below the model's 63%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Minori Natsuka at -143 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kokoa Nakao | Minori Natsuka | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5717 | 5814 |
| Tour rank | WTA #3238 | WTA #2884 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 4 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 5-14 | 8-21 |
| UTR | 7.93 | 8.77 |
Head to head
Minori Natsuka leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Minori Natsuka | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 | Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Kokoa Nakao, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Minori Natsuka | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Uri Goshima | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Shigeta Mua | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sayuri Hata | L | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Honami Sodeyama | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Nana Kawagishi | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Ayaho Okude | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 07.9.2026 | Eunyeong Park | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 06.09.2026 | Eun Se Jang | W | 3-6, 6-1, 10-3 |
| 30.08.2026 | Sun Min Ha | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
Minori Natsuka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Shizuka Sakurada | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Kokoa Nakao | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Neon Kinoshita | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Natsuko Saegusa | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Himari Sato | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 05.05.2026 | Mutsumi Uemura | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 04.05.2026 | Ayaka Ozeki | W | 4-6, 6-3, 13-11 |
| 14.03.2026 | Natsumi Shioya | L | 6-1, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 12.03.2026 | Sayuri Hata | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 11.03.2026 | Azuna Ichioka | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Kokoa Nakao | Minori Natsuka |
|---|---|---|
| Sayuri Hata | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-0 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
| Shigeta Mua | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Kokoa Nakao 37% at +100
- 2026-10-26: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Kokoa Nakao 37% at +100
- 2026-10-25: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Kokoa Nakao 37% at +100
- 2026-10-24: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Kokoa Nakao 37% at +100
- 2026-10-23: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Kokoa Nakao 37% at +100
- 2026-10-22: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Kokoa Nakao 37% at +100
- 2026-10-21: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Kokoa Nakao 37% at +100
Kokoa Nakao vs Minori Natsuka: quick answers
Who will win Kokoa Nakao vs Minori Natsuka?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Minori Natsuka, giving them a 63% chance to win against Kokoa Nakao (37%).
What is the head-to-head record between Kokoa Nakao and Minori Natsuka?
Minori Natsuka leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Minori Natsuka 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 at Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Kokoa Nakao or Minori Natsuka?
Kokoa Nakao is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Losses). Minori Natsuka is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kokoa Nakao and Minori Natsuka?
Kokoa Nakao is rated 5717 (WTA #3238) and Minori Natsuka is rated 5814 (WTA #2884). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kokoa Nakao vs Minori Natsuka?
Kokoa Nakao is priced at +100 and Minori Natsuka at -143, which implies a 50% and 59% chance to win. The model rates Minori Natsuka 4 points higher than the odds do (63% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.