Yi Zhou vs Koki Matsuda

ATP Guangzhou (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 08:05.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Yi Zhou, giving them a 85% chance to win against Koki Matsuda (15%). Yi Zhou leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zhou is 6-4 in their last 10, Matsuda 3-7.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Yi Zhou a 85% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Yi Zhou -556
Model
85%
Book
85%

Model minus book: 0 pts

Model
15%
Book
22%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yi Zhou at -556 · Model track record

Player comparison

Yi ZhouKoki Matsuda
Tennis Gauge rating66896425
Tour rankATP #231ATP #703
Last 10 matches6-43-7
Last 30 days3-32-3
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record27-2542-27
UTR14.213.5
Elo (52 weeks)14941213
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceClayHard

Head to head

Yi Zhou leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Yi Zhou6-1, 6-3China Guangzhou

Recent form

Yi Zhou, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Jake Delaney L2-6, 6-4, 6-4
27.10.2026Elias Ymer W1-6, 7-6, 6-4
24.10.2026Coleman Wong L7-6, 6-3
23.10.2026Andre Ilagan W7-6, 6-2
21.10.2026Zhizhen Zhang W6-3, 6-4
20.10.2026Koki Matsuda W6-1, 6-3
11.10.2026Hubert Hurkacz L6-2, 3-6, 6-3
09.10.2026Lorenzo Musetti W7-6, 3-6, 7-6
07.10.2026Mattia Bellucci W6-4, 3-6, 7-6
28.09.2026Pablo Carreno Busta L7-5, 6-3

Koki Matsuda, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Terence Atmane L4-6, 6-1, 6-2
26.10.2026Beibit Zhukayev L6-4, 7-6
25.10.2026Geun Jun Kim W7-6, 6-4
20.10.2026Yi Zhou L6-1, 6-3
19.10.2026Omar Jasika W6-4, 7-6
18.10.2026Millen Hurrion W6-3, 4-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Evan Zhu L6-3, 6-3
28.09.2026Keisuke Saitoh L6-3, 6-2
15.09.2026Arthur Weber L6-1, 6-2
10.09.2026Philip Sekulic L6-2, 4-6, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentYi ZhouKoki Matsuda
Andre Ilagan 1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
Jake Delaney 0-1
L 2-6, 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 7-6

Yi Zhou vs Koki Matsuda: quick answers

Who will win Yi Zhou vs Koki Matsuda?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Yi Zhou, giving them a 85% chance to win against Koki Matsuda (15%).

What is the head-to-head record between Yi Zhou and Koki Matsuda?

Yi Zhou leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Yi Zhou 6-1, 6-3 at China Guangzhou.

Who is in better form, Yi Zhou or Koki Matsuda?

Yi Zhou is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Koki Matsuda is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Yi Zhou and Koki Matsuda?

Yi Zhou is rated 6689 (ATP #231) and Koki Matsuda is rated 6425 (ATP #703). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Yi Zhou vs Koki Matsuda?

Yi Zhou is priced at -556 and Koki Matsuda at +351, which implies a 85% and 22% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.