Koki Matsuda vs Omar Jasika
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Omar Jasika, giving them a 81% chance to win against Koki Matsuda (19%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Matsuda is 3-7 in their last 10, Jasika 7-3. At -313, the odds imply 76% for Omar Jasika, below the model's 81%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Omar Jasika a 81% favorite. At -313 the sportsbook implies 76% for Omar Jasika, 5 points below the model's 81%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Omar Jasika at -313 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Koki Matsuda | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6425 | 6501 |
| Tour rank | ATP #703 | ATP #520 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 7-5 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 3 Wins |
| Season record | 42-27 | 73-37 |
| UTR | 13.5 | 14.0 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1213 | 1335 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Koki Matsuda | 6-4, 7-6 | China Guangzhou |
| 12.07.2026 | Omar Jasika | 4-6, 6-0, 6-1 | Japan Tokyo |
Recent form
Koki Matsuda, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 26.10.2026 | Beibit Zhukayev | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Geun Jun Kim | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Millen Hurrion | W | 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Evan Zhu | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Keisuke Saitoh | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Arthur Weber | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.09.2026 | Philip Sekulic | L | 6-2, 4-6, 7-5 |
Omar Jasika, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Lloyd Harris | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-4, 2-0 |
| 26.10.2026 | Yuta Kikuchi | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Koki Matsuda | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Liam Draxl | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Timofei Derepasko | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Marat Sharipov | W | 6-3, 3-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Koki Matsuda | Omar Jasika |
|---|---|---|
| Aoran Wang | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Colin Sinclair | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| Cruz Hewitt | 1-0 W 6-4, 5-7, 6-4 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Hiroki Moriya | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
2-1 W 6-2, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Ko Suzuki | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Marat Sharipov | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
1-2 W 6-3, 3-0, L 6-4, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Martin Borisiouk | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
2-1 W 7-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-3, L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 1-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Omar Jasika 76% at -357
- 2026-10-18: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Omar Jasika 76% at -357
Koki Matsuda vs Omar Jasika: quick answers
Who will win Koki Matsuda vs Omar Jasika?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Omar Jasika, giving them a 81% chance to win against Koki Matsuda (19%).
What is the head-to-head record between Koki Matsuda and Omar Jasika?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Koki Matsuda 6-4, 7-6 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Koki Matsuda or Omar Jasika?
Koki Matsuda is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Omar Jasika is 7-3 (current streak: 3 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Koki Matsuda and Omar Jasika?
Koki Matsuda is rated 6425 (ATP #703) and Omar Jasika is rated 6501 (ATP #520). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Koki Matsuda vs Omar Jasika?
Koki Matsuda is priced at +194 and Omar Jasika at -313, which implies a 34% and 76% chance to win. The model rates Omar Jasika 5 points higher than the odds do (81% vs 76%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.