Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell

WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 07:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sonay Kartal, giving them a 66% chance to win against Kimberly Birrell (34%). Sonay Kartal leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kartal is 8-2 in their last 10, Birrell 6-4.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sonay Kartal a 66% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
66%
Book
69%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model
34%
Book
36%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sonay Kartal at -227 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sonay KartalKimberly Birrell
Tennis Gauge rating71486991
Tour rankWTA #8WTA #73
Last 10 matches8-26-4
Last 30 days8-36-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record21-1035-29
UTR12.5412.07
Elo (52 weeks)19201748
Best surfaceHardHard
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Sonay Kartal leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
07.02.2026Sonay Kartal7-5, 6-3Qatar Doha

Recent form

Sonay Kartal, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Maja Chwalinska L2-6, 6-4, 6-2
17.10.2026Jelena Ostapenko W7-6, 7-6
16.10.2026Elina Svitolina W6-2, 2-6, 6-4
16.10.2026Elina Svitolina W6-2, 2-6, 6-4
15.10.2026Jasmine Paolini W6-2, 6-0
14.10.2026Belinda Bencic W6-0, 7-5
12.10.2026Anhelina Kalinina W7-5, 6-3
05.10.2026Alina Charaeva L6-4, 6-1
03.10.2026Xin Yu Wang W6-3, 6-2
01.10.2026Andrea Lazaro Garcia W6-2, 6-3

Kimberly Birrell, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Alycia Parks L6-3, 6-1
25.10.2026Daria Kasatkina L6-3, 6-4
24.10.2026Aoi Ito W6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Katie Volynets L6-7, 7-6, 6-3
03.10.2026Marie Bouzkova L6-4, 6-4
01.10.2026Aoi Ito W6-1, 6-1
27.09.2026Maya Joint W6-4, 6-2
26.09.2026Anna Bondar W7-5, 2-6, 6-1
25.09.2026Katie Volynets W2-6, 6-2, 7-5
24.09.2026Ye Xin Ma W7-5, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSonay KartalKimberly Birrell
Elena Rybakina 0-1
L 6-4, 4-3
0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
Ella Seidel 1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
Lanlana Tararudee 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
Magda Linette 0-1
L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3
0-1
L 2-6, 6-1, 6-2
Marie Bouzkova 0-1
L 7-6, 4-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Renata Zarazua 1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-2

Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell: quick answers

Who will win Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sonay Kartal, giving them a 66% chance to win against Kimberly Birrell (34%).

What is the head-to-head record between Sonay Kartal and Kimberly Birrell?

Sonay Kartal leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on February 7, 2026, won by Sonay Kartal 7-5, 6-3 at Qatar Doha.

Who is in better form, Sonay Kartal or Kimberly Birrell?

Sonay Kartal is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Kimberly Birrell is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sonay Kartal and Kimberly Birrell?

Sonay Kartal is rated 7148 (WTA #8) and Kimberly Birrell is rated 6991 (WTA #73). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell?

Sonay Kartal is priced at -227 and Kimberly Birrell at +174, which implies a 69% and 36% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.