Sara Cakarevic vs Kim Chiarello
Updated
Sara Cakarevic beat Kim Chiarello 6-2, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sara Cakarevic leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Cakarevic is 5-5 in their last 10, Chiarello 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sara Cakarevic a 90% favorite. At -154 the sportsbook implies 61% for Sara Cakarevic, 29 points below the model's 90%.
Model minus book: +29 pts
Model minus book: -38 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sara Cakarevic at -154 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sara Cakarevic | Kim Chiarello | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6530 | 6302 |
| Tour rank | WTA #498 | WTA #986 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 24-27 | 9-13 |
| UTR | 10.83 | 10.2 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1202 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Sara Cakarevic leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Sara Cakarevic | 6-2, 6-2 | France Cherbourg En Cotentin |
| 15.06.2026 | Sara Cakarevic | 6-3, 7-6 | France Blois |
Recent form
Sara Cakarevic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Lian Tran | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Marie Mattel | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kim Chiarello | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Raluka Serban | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Katerina Tsygourova | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Lisa Zaar | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Carolina Bohrer Martins | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Tena Lukas | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Noemi Maines | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 04.09.2026 | Georgia Pedone | L | 6-1, 0-6, 6-3 |
Kim Chiarello, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Sara Cakarevic | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Amandine Monnot | L | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Marie Villet | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Heerae Im | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Anna Brunet Brady | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Salma Djoubri | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Meline Lataste | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Severine Deppner | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Demi Tran | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 13.09.2026 | Naoko Eto | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sara Cakarevic | Kim Chiarello |
|---|---|---|
| Massiva Boukirat | 1-0 W 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 2-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: WTA Cherbourg En Cotentin (France), model gave Sara Cakarevic 90% at -154
Sara Cakarevic vs Kim Chiarello: quick answers
Who won Sara Cakarevic vs Kim Chiarello?
Sara Cakarevic beat Kim Chiarello 6-2, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Sara Cakarevic and Kim Chiarello?
Sara Cakarevic leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Sara Cakarevic 6-2, 6-2 at France Cherbourg En Cotentin.
Who is in better form, Sara Cakarevic or Kim Chiarello?
Sara Cakarevic is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Kim Chiarello is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sara Cakarevic and Kim Chiarello?
Sara Cakarevic is rated 6530 (WTA #498) and Kim Chiarello is rated 6302 (WTA #986). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sara Cakarevic vs Kim Chiarello?
Sara Cakarevic is priced at -154 and Kim Chiarello at +105, which implies a 61% and 49% chance to win. The model rates Sara Cakarevic 29 points higher than the odds do (90% vs 61%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.