Khumoyun Sultanov vs Saba Purtseladze

ATP Guangzhou (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 09:05.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Khumoyun Sultanov, giving them a 51% chance to win against Saba Purtseladze (49%). Khumoyun Sultanov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sultanov is 6-4 in their last 10, Purtseladze 3-7. At +156, the odds imply 39% for Saba Purtseladze, below the model's 49%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Khumoyun Sultanov a 51% favorite. At +156 the sportsbook implies 39% for Saba Purtseladze, 10 points below the model's 49%.

Model
51%
Book
69%

Model minus book: -19 pts

Model
49%
Book
39%

Model minus book: +10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Saba Purtseladze at +156 · Model track record

Player comparison

Khumoyun SultanovSaba Purtseladze
Tennis Gauge rating65026397
Tour rankATP #519ATP #795
Last 10 matches6-43-7
Last 30 days5-12-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record45-1930-29
UTR14.113.48
Elo (52 weeks)13471258
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Khumoyun Sultanov leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Khumoyun Sultanov6-4, 7-6China Guangzhou

Recent form

Khumoyun Sultanov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Naoya Honda L3-6, 7-5, 6-4
25.10.2026Dingzheng Nima W6-1, 6-1
21.10.2026Andre Ilagan L7-5, 6-2
20.10.2026Luca Castelnuovo W7-6, 7-6
19.10.2026Saba Purtseladze W6-4, 7-6
18.10.2026Xiaoyin Yang W6-1, 6-4
02.10.2026Coleman Wong L3-6, 6-3, 6-2
01.10.2026Chun Hsin Tseng W7-6, 6-2
30.09.2026Soon Woo Kwon W3-0
15.09.2026Hunter Heck L6-3, 6-2

Saba Purtseladze, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Filip Peliwo L6-2, 6-3
19.10.2026Khumoyun Sultanov L6-4, 7-6
18.10.2026Masamichi Imamura W6-1, 6-2
30.09.2026Nicola Rispoli L4-6, 6-1, 6-3
29.09.2026Nika Bidzinashvili W7-5, 6-2
20.09.2026Adrian Andreev L4-6, 6-0, 3-2
13.09.2026Johan Nikles L6-2, 6-4
06.09.2026Izan Almazan Valiente L6-2, 3-6, 6-1
26.08.2026Nikita Ianin L6-4, 6-3
13.08.2026Max Hans Rehberg W6-1, 5-7, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentKhumoyun SultanovSaba Purtseladze
Alexandr Binda 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
Calvin Mueller 1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
1-0
W 6-2, 7-5
Louis Wessels 1-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
Mert Alkaya 1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Saba Purtseladze 54% at +160
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Saba Purtseladze 54% at +160

Khumoyun Sultanov vs Saba Purtseladze: quick answers

Who will win Khumoyun Sultanov vs Saba Purtseladze?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Khumoyun Sultanov, giving them a 51% chance to win against Saba Purtseladze (49%).

What is the head-to-head record between Khumoyun Sultanov and Saba Purtseladze?

Khumoyun Sultanov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Khumoyun Sultanov 6-4, 7-6 at China Guangzhou.

Who is in better form, Khumoyun Sultanov or Saba Purtseladze?

Khumoyun Sultanov is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Saba Purtseladze is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Khumoyun Sultanov and Saba Purtseladze?

Khumoyun Sultanov is rated 6502 (ATP #519) and Saba Purtseladze is rated 6397 (ATP #795). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Khumoyun Sultanov vs Saba Purtseladze?

Khumoyun Sultanov is priced at -227 and Saba Purtseladze at +156, which implies a 69% and 39% chance to win. The model rates Saba Purtseladze 10 points higher than the odds do (49% vs 39%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.