Khumoyun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Khumoyun Sultanov, giving them a 56% chance to win against Luca Castelnuovo (44%). Khumoyun Sultanov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sultanov is 6-4 in their last 10, Castelnuovo 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Khumoyun Sultanov a 56% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Khumoyun Sultanov at -139 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6502 | 6512 |
| Tour rank | ATP #519 | ATP #508 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 45-19 | 30-28 |
| UTR | 14.1 | 13.83 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1347 | 1266 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Khumoyun Sultanov leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Khumoyun Sultanov | 7-6, 7-6 | China Guangzhou |
Recent form
Khumoyun Sultanov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Naoya Honda | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Dingzheng Nima | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Luca Castelnuovo | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Saba Purtseladze | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Xiaoyin Yang | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Chun Hsin Tseng | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Soon Woo Kwon | W | 3-0 |
| 15.09.2026 | Hunter Heck | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Luca Castelnuovo, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Yusuke Kusuhara | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Khumoyun Sultanov | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 6-7, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 16.09.2026 | Elias Ymer | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Omar Jasika | W | 6-7, 6-2, 1-0 |
| 12.09.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Khumoyun Sultanov | Luca Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Aoran Wang | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-0 |
| Chun Hsin Tseng | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
Khumoyun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo: quick answers
Who will win Khumoyun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Khumoyun Sultanov, giving them a 56% chance to win against Luca Castelnuovo (44%).
What is the head-to-head record between Khumoyun Sultanov and Luca Castelnuovo?
Khumoyun Sultanov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Khumoyun Sultanov 7-6, 7-6 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Khumoyun Sultanov or Luca Castelnuovo?
Khumoyun Sultanov is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Luca Castelnuovo is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Khumoyun Sultanov and Luca Castelnuovo?
Khumoyun Sultanov is rated 6502 (ATP #519) and Luca Castelnuovo is rated 6512 (ATP #508). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Khumoyun Sultanov vs Luca Castelnuovo?
Khumoyun Sultanov is priced at -139 and Luca Castelnuovo at -105, which implies a 58% and 51% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.