Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva
Updated
Keegan Smith beat Vit Kopriva 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Vit Kopriva at 78%. Keegan Smith leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Smith is 4-6 in their last 10, Kopriva 3-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Vit Kopriva a 78% favorite. At -200 the sportsbook implies 67% for Vit Kopriva, 11 points below the model's 78%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Vit Kopriva at -200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Keegan Smith | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6636 | 6819 |
| Tour rank | ATP #301 | ATP #110 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 59-33 | 28-34 |
| UTR | 14.4 | 15.33 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1451 | 1678 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Keegan Smith leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Keegan Smith | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Keegan Smith, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | L | 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Tristan Schoolkate | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | W | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Max Purcell | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Vit Kopriva | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Stefanos Sakellaridis | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Mitchell Krueger | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Vit Kopriva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Keegan Smith | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Pavel Kotov | W | 6-1, 4-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Alex Molcan | L | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Denis Shapovalov | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Jia Hu | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 31.08.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L | 6-3, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 22.08.2026 | Lloyd Harris | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 20.08.2026 | Gauthier Onclin | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Keegan Smith | Vit Kopriva |
|---|---|---|
| Alexis Galarneau | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Hugo Gaston | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Martin Landaluce | 0-2 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-3, L 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 1-6, 2-6, 6-4, 7-5, 6-0 |
| Pavel Kotov | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 4-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Keegan Smith 22% at +170
Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva: quick answers
Who won Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva?
Keegan Smith beat Vit Kopriva 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Vit Kopriva at 78%.
What is the head-to-head record between Keegan Smith and Vit Kopriva?
Keegan Smith leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Keegan Smith 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Keegan Smith or Vit Kopriva?
Keegan Smith is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Vit Kopriva is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Keegan Smith and Vit Kopriva?
Keegan Smith is rated 6636 (ATP #301) and Vit Kopriva is rated 6819 (ATP #110). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva?
Keegan Smith is priced at +170 and Vit Kopriva at -200, which implies a 37% and 67% chance to win. The model rates Vit Kopriva 11 points higher than the odds do (78% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.