Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 10:35.

Updated

Martin Landaluce beat Keegan Smith 3-6, 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Martin Landaluce leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Landaluce is 5-5 in their last 10, Smith 4-6.

Result: Martin Landaluce beat Keegan Smith 3-6, 6-2, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Martin Landaluce a 70% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
70%
Book
75%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model
30%
Book
30%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Martin Landaluce at -294 · Model track record

Player comparison

Martin LandaluceKeegan Smith
Tennis Gauge rating68346636
Tour rankATP #93ATP #301
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days3-25-3
Current streak3 Losses2 Losses
Season record33-3459-33
UTR15.3214.4
Elo (52 weeks)16521451
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Martin Landaluce leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Martin Landaluce3-6, 6-2, 6-3China Jinan
16.10.2026Martin Landaluce3-6, 6-2, 6-3China Jinan

Recent form

Martin Landaluce, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Alexander Zverev L7-5, 3-6, 7-6
21.10.2026Stan Wawrinka L6-3, 6-7, 7-6
18.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-2, 4-6, 6-3
17.10.2026Liam Draxl W7-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Keegan Smith W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Keegan Smith W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
14.10.2026Jie Cui W6-4, 7-5
13.10.2026Ilia Simakin W6-3, 6-3
08.10.2026Jan Lennard Struff L6-4, 6-4
28.09.2026Marco Trungelliti L6-1, 6-7, 7-6

Keegan Smith, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Yu Hsiou Hsu L4-6, 7-5, 7-6
23.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate L7-6, 6-3
22.10.2026Fajing Sun W3-6, 6-4, 7-6
20.10.2026Max Purcell W6-4, 7-6
16.10.2026Martin Landaluce L3-6, 6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Martin Landaluce L3-6, 6-2, 6-3
14.10.2026Vit Kopriva W6-3, 3-6, 6-3
13.10.2026Stefanos Sakellaridis W7-6, 3-6, 6-3
06.10.2026Hiroki Moriya L3-6, 7-6, 6-3
02.10.2026Mitchell Krueger L6-4, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMartin LandaluceKeegan Smith
Hugo Gaston 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
Jacob Fearnley 0-1
L 4-6, 6-2, 4-6, 7-5, 6-3
0-1
L 4-6, 7-5, 6-4
Sho Shimabukuro 0-1
L 6-2, 6-7, 7-5
1-0
W 5-7, 6-0, 6-3
Soon Woo Kwon 0-1
L 6-4, 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
Vit Kopriva 1-0
W 1-6, 2-6, 6-4, 7-5, 6-0
1-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Martin Landaluce 70% at -294

Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith: quick answers

Who won Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith?

Martin Landaluce beat Keegan Smith 3-6, 6-2, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Martin Landaluce and Keegan Smith?

Martin Landaluce leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Martin Landaluce 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Martin Landaluce or Keegan Smith?

Martin Landaluce is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Keegan Smith is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Martin Landaluce and Keegan Smith?

Martin Landaluce is rated 6834 (ATP #93) and Keegan Smith is rated 6636 (ATP #301). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith?

Martin Landaluce is priced at -294 and Keegan Smith at +229, which implies a 75% and 30% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.