Pranav Karthik vs Kazuki Nakajima
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Pranav Karthik, giving them a 62% chance to win against Kazuki Nakajima (38%). Pranav Karthik leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Karthik is 6-4 in their last 10, Nakajima 6-4. At +205, the odds imply 33% for Kazuki Nakajima, below the model's 38%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Pranav Karthik a 62% favorite. At +205 the sportsbook implies 33% for Kazuki Nakajima, 5 points below the model's 38%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kazuki Nakajima at +205 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Pranav Karthik | Kazuki Nakajima | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6172 | 5914 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1743 | ATP #3476 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 23-18 | 21-26 |
| UTR | 12.7 | 11.91 |
Head to head
Pranav Karthik leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Pranav Karthik | 6-1, 6-4 | Singapore Singapore |
Recent form
Pranav Karthik, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Kazuki Nakajima | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Ergi Kirkin | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Maxime Janvier | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Alexey Aleshchev | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Maximus Zavier Wong | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Digvijaypratap Singh | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Anup Bangargi | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Chirag Duhan | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Karim El Feky | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.09.2026 | Ivan Gretskiy | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
Kazuki Nakajima, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Pranav Karthik | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Maximus Zavier Wong | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Jordan Chiu | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Minghui Zhang | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Kai I Wang | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Jiaqi Gu | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Yeongseok Jeong | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.09.2026 | Nick Beamish | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 21.09.2026 | Ivan Dorokhov | W | 0-6, 6-3, 1-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Jiangao Chang | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Pranav Karthik | Kazuki Nakajima |
|---|---|---|
| Mateja Stanisavljevic | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
| Maximus Zavier Wong | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Singapore (IX) (Singapore), model gave Pranav Karthik 62% at -333
Pranav Karthik vs Kazuki Nakajima: quick answers
Who will win Pranav Karthik vs Kazuki Nakajima?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Pranav Karthik, giving them a 62% chance to win against Kazuki Nakajima (38%).
What is the head-to-head record between Pranav Karthik and Kazuki Nakajima?
Pranav Karthik leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Pranav Karthik 6-1, 6-4 at Singapore Singapore.
Who is in better form, Pranav Karthik or Kazuki Nakajima?
Pranav Karthik is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Kazuki Nakajima is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Pranav Karthik and Kazuki Nakajima?
Pranav Karthik is rated 6172 (ATP #1743) and Kazuki Nakajima is rated 5914 (ATP #3476). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Pranav Karthik vs Kazuki Nakajima?
Pranav Karthik is priced at -333 and Kazuki Nakajima at +205, which implies a 77% and 33% chance to win. The model rates Kazuki Nakajima 5 points higher than the odds do (38% vs 33%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.