Kayla Day vs Sofia Kenin
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Kayla Day, giving them a 57% chance to win against Sofia Kenin (43%). Kayla Day leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Day is 6-4 in their last 10, Kenin 2-8. At -112, the odds imply 53% for Kayla Day, below the model's 57%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kayla Day a 57% favorite. At -112 the sportsbook implies 53% for Kayla Day, 4 points below the model's 57%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kayla Day at -112 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kayla Day | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6872 | 6935 |
| Tour rank | WTA #135 | WTA #97 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 1-5 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 53-23 | 9-27 |
| UTR | 12.24 | 11.95 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1630 | 1684 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Kayla Day leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Kayla Day | 6-3, 6-2 | Japan Osaka |
Recent form
Kayla Day, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Shuai Zhang | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Antonia Ruzic | L | 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sofia Kenin | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Maya Joint | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ena Koike | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Amelie Van Impe | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Janae Preston | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Ella Mcdonald | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Anna Rogers | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 25.09.2026 | Evialina Laskevich | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
Sofia Kenin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Kaitlin Quevedo | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Kayla Day | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Sinja Kraus | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mei Yamaguchi | W | 2-6, 6-0, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Alina Charaeva | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Jessica Pegula | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | Venus Williams | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.08.2026 | Marta Kostyuk | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Kayla Day | Sofia Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Elsa Jacquemot | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Maya Joint | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
Kayla Day vs Sofia Kenin: quick answers
Who will win Kayla Day vs Sofia Kenin?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Kayla Day, giving them a 57% chance to win against Sofia Kenin (43%).
What is the head-to-head record between Kayla Day and Sofia Kenin?
Kayla Day leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Kayla Day 6-3, 6-2 at Japan Osaka.
Who is in better form, Kayla Day or Sofia Kenin?
Kayla Day is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Sofia Kenin is 2-8 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kayla Day and Sofia Kenin?
Kayla Day is rated 6872 (WTA #135) and Sofia Kenin is rated 6935 (WTA #97). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kayla Day vs Sofia Kenin?
Kayla Day is priced at -112 and Sofia Kenin at -111, which implies a 53% and 53% chance to win. The model rates Kayla Day 4 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.