Margaux Rouvroy vs Katherine Sebov
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Katherine Sebov, giving them a 66% chance to win against Margaux Rouvroy (34%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Rouvroy is 4-6 in their last 10, Sebov 4-6. At -147, the odds imply 60% for Katherine Sebov, below the model's 66%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Katherine Sebov a 66% favorite. At -147 the sportsbook implies 60% for Katherine Sebov, 7 points below the model's 66%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Katherine Sebov at -147 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Margaux Rouvroy | Katherine Sebov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6653 | 6713 |
| Tour rank | WTA #333 | WTA #273 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 31-25 | 31-28 |
| UTR | 11.13 | 11.5 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1388 | 1444 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Katherine Sebov | 6-2, 6-4 | Canada Saguenay |
| 01.10.2026 | Margaux Rouvroy | 1-6, 7-5, 6-4 | Portugal Quinta do Lago |
Recent form
Margaux Rouvroy, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Katherine Sebov | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Eva Vedder | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Susan Bandecchi | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Katherine Sebov | W | 1-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Paula Ortega Redondo | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara | L | 7-5, 1-6, 6-0 |
| 23.09.2026 | Amandine Hesse | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Sofia Johnson | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Matilde Jorge | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Katherine Sebov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Thara Gowda | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Sakura Hosogi | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Margaux Rouvroy | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Francoise Abanda | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Margaux Rouvroy | L | 1-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Alize Lim | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 22.09.2026 | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 25.08.2026 | Julia Avdeeva | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Margaux Rouvroy | Katherine Sebov |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Granwehr | 1-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Amandine Hesse | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 2-6, 7-5 |
| Dalila Jakupovic | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Hannah Klugman | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Kira Pavlova | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: WTA Saguenay (Canada), model gave Margaux Rouvroy 34% at +105
Margaux Rouvroy vs Katherine Sebov: quick answers
Who will win Margaux Rouvroy vs Katherine Sebov?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Katherine Sebov, giving them a 66% chance to win against Margaux Rouvroy (34%).
What is the head-to-head record between Margaux Rouvroy and Katherine Sebov?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Katherine Sebov 6-2, 6-4 at Canada Saguenay.
Who is in better form, Margaux Rouvroy or Katherine Sebov?
Margaux Rouvroy is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Katherine Sebov is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Margaux Rouvroy and Katherine Sebov?
Margaux Rouvroy is rated 6653 (WTA #333) and Katherine Sebov is rated 6713 (WTA #273). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Margaux Rouvroy vs Katherine Sebov?
Margaux Rouvroy is priced at +105 and Katherine Sebov at -147, which implies a 49% and 60% chance to win. The model rates Katherine Sebov 7 points higher than the odds do (66% vs 60%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.