Kateryna Diatlova vs Maria Valentina Pop
Updated
Maria Valentina Pop beat Kateryna Diatlova 6-2, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Kateryna Diatlova at 56%. Maria Valentina Pop leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Diatlova is 6-4 in their last 10, Pop 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kateryna Diatlova a 56% favorite. At -111 the sportsbook implies 53% for Kateryna Diatlova, 3 points below the model's 56%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kateryna Diatlova at -111 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kateryna Diatlova | Maria Valentina Pop | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6290 | 6381 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1035 | WTA #772 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 21-18 | 7-5 |
| UTR | 10.27 | 10.46 |
Head to head
Maria Valentina Pop leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Maria Valentina Pop | 6-2, 6-4 | Republic of Moldova Chisinau |
Recent form
Kateryna Diatlova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Justine Bretnacher | L | 6-4, 1-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Irina Fetecau | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Maria Valentina Pop | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Milana Maslenkova | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Sofia Martianova | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Justine Bretnacher | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Viktoria Kurz | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 10.09.2026 | Selina Atay | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 09.09.2026 | Victoria Allen | W | 1-0 |
Maria Valentina Pop, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas | L | 6-2, 6-7, 4-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kateryna Diatlova | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Arina Gamretkaia | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Ruien Zhang | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 22.07.2026 | Nehir Dogan | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 08.07.2026 | Daniella Britton | L | 6-2, 1-6, 4-6 |
| 06.07.2026 | Ida Wobker | W | 0-6, 5-5 |
| 17.06.2026 | Lavinia Tanasie | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 09.05.2026 | Vittoria Vignolini | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 21.04.2026 | Carla Vazquez Alcudia | L | 5-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Kateryna Diatlova vs Maria Valentina Pop: quick answers
Who won Kateryna Diatlova vs Maria Valentina Pop?
Maria Valentina Pop beat Kateryna Diatlova 6-2, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Kateryna Diatlova at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Kateryna Diatlova and Maria Valentina Pop?
Maria Valentina Pop leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Maria Valentina Pop 6-2, 6-4 at Republic of Moldova Chisinau.
Who is in better form, Kateryna Diatlova or Maria Valentina Pop?
Kateryna Diatlova is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Valentina Pop is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kateryna Diatlova and Maria Valentina Pop?
Kateryna Diatlova is rated 6290 (WTA #1035) and Maria Valentina Pop is rated 6381 (WTA #772). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kateryna Diatlova vs Maria Valentina Pop?
Kateryna Diatlova is priced at -111 and Maria Valentina Pop at -130, which implies a 53% and 57% chance to win. The model rates Kateryna Diatlova 3 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.