Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Katerina Siniakova, giving them a 53% chance to win against Peyton Stearns (47%). Katerina Siniakova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Siniakova is 7-3 in their last 10, Stearns 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Katerina Siniakova a 53% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Katerina Siniakova at -145 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Katerina Siniakova | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7113 | 7011 |
| Tour rank | WTA #21 | WTA #58 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Current streak | 6 Wins | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 24-19 | 25-24 |
| UTR | 12.37 | 12.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1830 | 1755 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Katerina Siniakova leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | 6-4, 0-6, 4-0 | Japan Osaka |
Recent form
Katerina Siniakova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Lanlana Tararudee | W | 2-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Ashlyn Krueger | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 24.10.2026 | Katie Boulter | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Mary Stoiana | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Magda Linette | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Peyton Stearns | W | 6-4, 0-6, 4-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | L | 6-1, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 03.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Magda Linette | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 03.09.2026 | Naomi Osaka | L | 6-2, 5-7, 6-1 |
Peyton Stearns, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | L | 6-4, 0-6, 4-0 |
| 10.10.2026 | Han Shi | L | 2-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Viktorija Golubic | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Iva Jovic | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 19.09.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 18.09.2026 | Sloane Stephens | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Diane Parry | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Emiliana Arango | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 31.08.2026 | Harriet Dart | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 16.08.2026 | Clara Tauson | L | 7-6, 1-6, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Katerina Siniakova | Peyton Stearns |
|---|---|---|
| Amanda Anisimova | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-0 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Clara Tauson | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
0-2 L 7-6, 1-6, 7-5, L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-0, 7-5, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Elvina Kalieva | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 0-2 L 6-1, 5-7, 6-2, L 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Lois Boisson | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Madison Keys | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Mary Stoiana | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Sofia Kenin | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-2 |
Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns: quick answers
Who will win Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Katerina Siniakova, giving them a 53% chance to win against Peyton Stearns (47%).
What is the head-to-head record between Katerina Siniakova and Peyton Stearns?
Katerina Siniakova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Katerina Siniakova 6-4, 0-6, 4-0 at Japan Osaka.
Who is in better form, Katerina Siniakova or Peyton Stearns?
Katerina Siniakova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Wins). Peyton Stearns is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Katerina Siniakova and Peyton Stearns?
Katerina Siniakova is rated 7113 (WTA #21) and Peyton Stearns is rated 7011 (WTA #58). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns?
Katerina Siniakova is priced at -145 and Peyton Stearns at +116, which implies a 59% and 46% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.