Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska

WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Maja Chwalinska, giving them a 86% chance to win against Katarzyna Kawa (14%). Kawa is 5-5 in their last 10, Chwalinska 8-2.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Maja Chwalinska a 86% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
14%
Book
23%

Model minus book: -9 pts

Model
86%
Book
83%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maja Chwalinska at -476 · Model track record

Player comparison

Katarzyna KawaMaja Chwalinska
Tennis Gauge rating69207071
Tour rankWTA #107WTA #32
Last 10 matches5-58-2
Last 30 days5-18-2
Current streak1 Loss6 Wins
Season record30-2843-21
UTR11.9612.57
Elo (52 weeks)15831886
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Katarzyna Kawa and Maja Chwalinska haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Katarzyna Kawa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Elena Rybakina L6-1, 3-6, 6-1
22.10.2026Belinda Bencic W7-5, 6-2
20.10.2026Daria Snigur W1-6, 6-2, 6-4
18.10.2026Daria Snigur W6-1, 2-0
17.10.2026Katie Volynets L6-1, 3-4
30.09.2026Daria Snigur L3-6, 6-4, 7-5
29.09.2026Valeria Savinykh W6-3, 7-5
28.09.2026Rinko Matsuda W7-6, 2-6, 6-3
14.09.2026Maria Garcia Cid L6-3, 6-3
08.09.2026Eva Bennemann L6-2, 7-5

Maja Chwalinska, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Sonay Kartal W2-6, 6-4, 6-2
17.10.2026Iga Swiatek W7-5, 6-1
16.10.2026Maria Sakkari W6-0, 3-6, 7-5
15.10.2026Iva Jovic W6-4, 6-1
14.10.2026Marie Bouzkova W1-6, 6-1, 6-1
13.10.2026Mayar Sherif W6-3, 6-2
02.10.2026Dayana Yastremska L6-3, 6-1
26.09.2026Leylah Fernandez L1-6, 6-4, 6-2
25.09.2026Elise Mertens W6-2, 6-2
23.09.2026Oleksandra Oliynykova W6-0, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentKatarzyna KawaMaja Chwalinska
Anhelina Kalinina 0-2
L 6-3, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-2
0-1
L 5-7, 6-2, 6-1
Carole Monnet 2-0
W 6-1, 6-0, W 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 6-0, 6-1
Despina Papamichail 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
2-0
W 6-2, 6-0, W 6-3, 6-1
Hanyu Guo 1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 6-4, 6-0
Leyre Romero Gormaz 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
Mayar Sherif 1-0
W 6-3, 1-6, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
Moyuka Uchijima 0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 2-6, 6-3, 7-5
Noma Noha Akugue 1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
1-0
W 6-2, 3-6, 6-1
Simona Waltert 1-2
W 6-1, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-1, L 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 6-1, 6-0
Tamara Zidansek 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
0-2
L 6-3, 6-1, L 6-7, 6-3, 7-6

Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska: quick answers

Who will win Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Maja Chwalinska, giving them a 86% chance to win against Katarzyna Kawa (14%).

Have Katarzyna Kawa and Maja Chwalinska played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Katarzyna Kawa or Maja Chwalinska?

Katarzyna Kawa is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maja Chwalinska is 8-2 (current streak: 6 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Katarzyna Kawa and Maja Chwalinska?

Katarzyna Kawa is rated 6920 (WTA #107) and Maja Chwalinska is rated 7071 (WTA #32). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska?

Katarzyna Kawa is priced at +331 and Maja Chwalinska at -476, which implies a 23% and 83% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.