Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets

WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), Hard. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 08:00.

Updated

Katarzyna Kawa beat Katie Volynets 6-1, 3-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Katie Volynets at 77%. Katie Volynets leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kawa is 5-5 in their last 10, Volynets 5-5.

Result: Katarzyna Kawa beat Katie Volynets 6-1, 3-4. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Katie Volynets.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Katie Volynets a 77% favorite. At +551 the sportsbook implies 15% for Katarzyna Kawa, 7 points below the model's 23%.

Model
23%
Book
15%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
77%
Book
92%

Model minus book: -14 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Katarzyna Kawa at +551 · Model track record

Player comparison

Katarzyna KawaKatie Volynets
Tennis Gauge rating69207015
Tour rankWTA #107WTA #55
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days2-16-3
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record30-2843-27
UTR11.9612.32
Elo (52 weeks)15831811
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Katie Volynets leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Katie Volynets6-1, 3-4China Ningbo

Recent form

Katarzyna Kawa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Elena Rybakina L6-1, 3-6, 6-1
22.10.2026Belinda Bencic W7-5, 6-2
20.10.2026Daria Snigur W1-6, 6-2, 6-4
18.10.2026Daria Snigur W6-1, 2-0
17.10.2026Katie Volynets L6-1, 3-4
30.09.2026Daria Snigur L3-6, 6-4, 7-5
29.09.2026Valeria Savinykh W6-3, 7-5
28.09.2026Rinko Matsuda W7-6, 2-6, 6-3
14.09.2026Maria Garcia Cid L6-3, 6-3
08.09.2026Eva Bennemann L6-2, 7-5

Katie Volynets, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Dayana Yastremska L7-5, 1-6, 7-6
17.10.2026Katarzyna Kawa L6-1, 3-4
14.10.2026Hanyu Guo L6-4, 4-6, 7-6
13.10.2026Kimberly Birrell W6-7, 7-6, 6-3
11.10.2026Camila Osorio W3-6, 6-3, 6-4
10.10.2026Polina Kudermetova W6-2, 6-1
03.10.2026Elise Mertens L6-0, 4-6, 7-5
01.10.2026Robin Montgomery W7-5, 7-5
25.09.2026Kimberly Birrell L2-6, 6-2, 7-5
23.09.2026Kamilla Rakhimova W6-3, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentKatarzyna KawaKatie Volynets
Anhelina Kalinina 0-2
L 6-3, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
Dominika Salkova 1-0
W 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 3-6, 6-2, 6-4
Ella Seidel 0-1
L 2-6, 6-4, 6-1
1-0
W 3-6, 6-1, 6-4
Eva Lys 0-1
L 5-7, 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 5-7, 6-2, 6-0
Hanyu Guo 1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 7-6
Nikola Bartunkova 0-1
L 6-4, 2-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 7-5
Panna Udvardy 0-2
L 1-6, 7-5, 6-2, L 7-6, 6-1
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Tatjana Maria 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-1
L 6-2, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Katarzyna Kawa 23% at +551

Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets: quick answers

Who won Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets?

Katarzyna Kawa beat Katie Volynets 6-1, 3-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Katie Volynets at 77%.

What is the head-to-head record between Katarzyna Kawa and Katie Volynets?

Katie Volynets leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Katie Volynets 6-1, 3-4 at China Ningbo.

Who is in better form, Katarzyna Kawa or Katie Volynets?

Katarzyna Kawa is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Katie Volynets is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Katarzyna Kawa and Katie Volynets?

Katarzyna Kawa is rated 6920 (WTA #107) and Katie Volynets is rated 7015 (WTA #55). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Katarzyna Kawa vs Katie Volynets?

Katarzyna Kawa is priced at +551 and Katie Volynets at -1111, which implies a 15% and 92% chance to win. The model rates Katarzyna Kawa 7 points higher than the odds do (23% vs 15%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.