Luca Castagnola vs Kasra Rahmani
Updated
Luca Castagnola beat Kasra Rahmani 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Kasra Rahmani at 64%. Luca Castagnola leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Castagnola is 5-5 in their last 10, Rahmani 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kasra Rahmani a 64% favorite. At +258 the sportsbook implies 28% for Luca Castagnola, 9 points below the model's 36%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luca Castagnola at +258 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luca Castagnola | Kasra Rahmani | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6382 | 6454 |
| Tour rank | ATP #853 | ATP #633 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 29-34 | 40-22 |
| UTR | 13.43 | 13.74 |
Head to head
Luca Castagnola leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Luca Castagnola | 6-3, 6-3 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Luca Castagnola, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Jake Fellows | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Patric Prinoth | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sergio Callejon Hernando | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sergio Callejon Hernando | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Kasra Rahmani | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Josh Manuel | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Robert Strombachs | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Jan Werblinski | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Faris Zakaryia | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Jan Hrazdil | W | 7-6, 6-0 |
Kasra Rahmani, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Christian Djonov | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 25.10.2026 | Liam Gavrielides | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Lars Goran Verwerft | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Vaclav Schneider | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Luca Castagnola | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Taentawan Taddeo Majoli Maggioli | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kaan Isak Kosaner | L | 6-0, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Pablo De La Cierva Sanchez | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Luca Castagnola | Kasra Rahmani |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Arnaboldi | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 6-2 |
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Jan Werblinski | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-1 |
| Josh Roe Flannelly | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
| Luca Potenza | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Massimo Giunta | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Toufik Sahtali | 0-1 L 6-1, 1-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), model gave Luca Castagnola 36% at +258
Luca Castagnola vs Kasra Rahmani: quick answers
Who won Luca Castagnola vs Kasra Rahmani?
Luca Castagnola beat Kasra Rahmani 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Kasra Rahmani at 64%.
What is the head-to-head record between Luca Castagnola and Kasra Rahmani?
Luca Castagnola leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Luca Castagnola 6-3, 6-3 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Luca Castagnola or Kasra Rahmani?
Luca Castagnola is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Kasra Rahmani is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luca Castagnola and Kasra Rahmani?
Luca Castagnola is rated 6382 (ATP #853) and Kasra Rahmani is rated 6454 (ATP #633). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luca Castagnola vs Kasra Rahmani?
Luca Castagnola is priced at +258 and Kasra Rahmani at -400, which implies a 28% and 80% chance to win. The model rates Luca Castagnola 9 points higher than the odds do (36% vs 28%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.