Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova
Updated
Nikola Bartunkova beat Karolina Muchova 6-3, 6-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Karolina Muchova at 80%. Nikola Bartunkova leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Muchova is 7-3 in their last 10, Bartunkova 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Karolina Muchova a 80% favorite. At -270 the sportsbook implies 73% for Karolina Muchova, 7 points below the model's 80%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Karolina Muchova at -270 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Karolina Muchova | Nikola Bartunkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7145 | 7053 |
| Tour rank | WTA #9 | WTA #43 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 43-13 | 41-26 |
| UTR | 12.86 | 12.52 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1961 | 1850 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Nikola Bartunkova leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | 6-3, 6-0 | China Peking |
Recent form
Karolina Muchova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Caty Mcnally | W | 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Naomi Osaka | W | 7-5, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Katie Boulter | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 04.09.2026 | Emma Navarro | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 02.09.2026 | Katie Boulter | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Nikola Bartunkova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lilli Tagger | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Karolina Muchova | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Sinja Kraus | W | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Aryna Sabalenka | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Magdalena Frech | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 05.09.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 03.09.2026 | Tatjana Maria | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Karolina Muchova | Nikola Bartunkova |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Anastasia Potapova | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Antonia Ruzic | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-3, L 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | 1-0 W 7-5, 5-7, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
| Clara Tauson | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Diana Shnaider | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Elina Svitolina | 1-0 W 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Elise Mertens | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
1-2 L 1-6, 6-4, 6-2, W 6-1, 6-4, L 6-0, 6-4 |
| Madison Keys | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 6-4 |
| Sinja Kraus | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Victoria Mboko | 2-0 W 7-5, 7-6, W 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova: quick answers
Who won Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Nikola Bartunkova beat Karolina Muchova 6-3, 6-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Karolina Muchova at 80%.
What is the head-to-head record between Karolina Muchova and Nikola Bartunkova?
Nikola Bartunkova leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Nikola Bartunkova 6-3, 6-0 at China Peking.
Who is in better form, Karolina Muchova or Nikola Bartunkova?
Karolina Muchova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Nikola Bartunkova is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Karolina Muchova and Nikola Bartunkova?
Karolina Muchova is rated 7145 (WTA #9) and Nikola Bartunkova is rated 7053 (WTA #43). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova?
Karolina Muchova is priced at -270 and Nikola Bartunkova at +211, which implies a 73% and 32% chance to win. The model rates Karolina Muchova 7 points higher than the odds do (80% vs 73%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.