Karla Bartel vs Scarlett Fagan
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Karla Bartel, giving them a 70% chance to win against Scarlett Fagan (30%). Scarlett Fagan leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bartel is 3-7 in their last 10, Fagan 9-1. At -116, the odds imply 54% for Karla Bartel, below the model's 70%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Karla Bartel a 70% favorite. At -116 the sportsbook implies 54% for Karla Bartel, 16 points below the model's 70%.
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model minus book: -25 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Karla Bartel at -116 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Karla Bartel | Scarlett Fagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6245 | 6227 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1170 | WTA #1223 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 9-1 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 23-23 | 11-4 |
| UTR | 10.26 | 10.05 |
Head to head
Scarlett Fagan leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Scarlett Fagan | 6-2, 6-1 | USA Sumter |
Recent form
Karla Bartel, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Scarlett Fagan | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 04.10.2026 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Ashley Lahey | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Janae Preston | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 17.08.2026 | Nela Jandova | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 17.08.2026 | Georgina Groth | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 10.08.2026 | Sophie Bekker | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 09.08.2026 | Eva Shaw | W | 0-6, 6-2, 10-8 |
| 02.08.2026 | Anna Orlando Pellicero | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
Scarlett Fagan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Karla Bartel | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Kelly Keller | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 06.09.2026 | Ksenia Efremova | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 04.09.2026 | Olivia De Los Reyes | W | 6-3, 2-6, 1-0 |
| 21.08.2026 | Caroline Shao | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.07.2026 | Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 26.06.2026 | Olivia De Los Reyes | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.06.2026 | Heidi Felicia Schmal | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 23.06.2026 | Elicia Lin | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 22.06.2026 | Isabelle Thi Deluccia | W | 2-6, 3-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Sumter (X) (USA), model gave Karla Bartel 70% at -116
Karla Bartel vs Scarlett Fagan: quick answers
Who will win Karla Bartel vs Scarlett Fagan?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Karla Bartel, giving them a 70% chance to win against Scarlett Fagan (30%).
What is the head-to-head record between Karla Bartel and Scarlett Fagan?
Scarlett Fagan leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Scarlett Fagan 6-2, 6-1 at USA Sumter.
Who is in better form, Karla Bartel or Scarlett Fagan?
Karla Bartel is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Scarlett Fagan is 9-1 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Karla Bartel and Scarlett Fagan?
Karla Bartel is rated 6245 (WTA #1170) and Scarlett Fagan is rated 6227 (WTA #1223). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Karla Bartel vs Scarlett Fagan?
Karla Bartel is priced at -116 and Scarlett Fagan at -123, which implies a 54% and 55% chance to win. The model rates Karla Bartel 16 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 54%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.