Karen Khachanov vs Rei Sakamoto
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Karen Khachanov, giving them a 82% chance to win against Rei Sakamoto (18%). Karen Khachanov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Khachanov is 6-4 in their last 10, Sakamoto 8-2. At -200, the odds imply 67% for Karen Khachanov, below the model's 82%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Karen Khachanov a 82% favorite. At -200 the sportsbook implies 67% for Karen Khachanov, 16 points below the model's 82%.
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Karen Khachanov at -200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Karen Khachanov | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6932 | 6775 |
| Tour rank | ATP #22 | ATP #134 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 29-25 | 50-26 |
| UTR | 16.05 | 14.85 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1858 | 1709 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Karen Khachanov leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | 6-2, 6-4 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Karen Khachanov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Alexander Bublik | L | 4-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Tomas Machac | W | 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | W | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 04.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Alex Molcan | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Felix Auger Aliassime | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Rei Sakamoto, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Karen Khachanov | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Gabriel Diallo | W | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Amir Omarkhanov | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Alex De Minaur | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Kyrian Jacquet | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Seong Chan Hong | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Karen Khachanov | Rei Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| Alex De Minaur | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Alex Molcan | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Marco Trungelliti | 1-0 W 7-6, 5-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-1 W 6-3, 7-5, L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Michael Mmoh | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
Karen Khachanov vs Rei Sakamoto: quick answers
Who will win Karen Khachanov vs Rei Sakamoto?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Karen Khachanov, giving them a 82% chance to win against Rei Sakamoto (18%).
What is the head-to-head record between Karen Khachanov and Rei Sakamoto?
Karen Khachanov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Karen Khachanov 6-2, 6-4 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Karen Khachanov or Rei Sakamoto?
Karen Khachanov is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Rei Sakamoto is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Karen Khachanov and Rei Sakamoto?
Karen Khachanov is rated 6932 (ATP #22) and Rei Sakamoto is rated 6775 (ATP #134). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Karen Khachanov vs Rei Sakamoto?
Karen Khachanov is priced at -200 and Rei Sakamoto at +154, which implies a 67% and 39% chance to win. The model rates Karen Khachanov 16 points higher than the odds do (82% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.