Luka Pavlovic vs Kangyuan Shi

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Monday, October 12, 2026, 10:00.

Updated

Luka Pavlovic beat Kangyuan Shi 6-1, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pavlovic is 7-3 in their last 10, Shi 2-8.

Result: Luka Pavlovic beat Kangyuan Shi 6-1, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Luka Pavlovic a 98% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
98%
Book
96%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model
2%
Book
12%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luka Pavlovic at -2500 · Model track record

Player comparison

Luka PavlovicKangyuan Shi
Tennis Gauge rating66066027
Tour rankATP #345ATP #2739
Last 10 matches7-32-8
Last 30 days7-51-0
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record35-304-10
UTR14.3511.69
Elo (52 weeks)1549–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Luka Pavlovic6-1, 6-1China Jinan

Recent form

Luka Pavlovic, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-4, 6-4
14.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate W7-5, 6-4
12.10.2026Kangyuan Shi W6-1, 6-1
11.10.2026Thomas Fancutt W7-5, 6-3
05.10.2026Ilia Simakin L4-6, 6-4, 6-1
01.10.2026Lloyd Harris L6-2, 6-3
29.09.2026Akira Santillan W6-2, 6-4
27.09.2026Gabriel Elicha Navas W7-6, 6-4
26.09.2026Marcin Andrzejczak W6-1, 6-4
23.09.2026Noble Renfrow W6-0, 7-6

Kangyuan Shi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
12.10.2026Luka Pavlovic L6-1, 6-1
11.10.2026Sergey Betov W6-4, 6-3
22.08.2026Natsuki Yamamoto L6-0, 6-3
01.08.2026Charles Josshua Kinaadman L6-7, 4-0
11.07.2026Kenta Nakamura L6-2, 1-6, 1-0
04.07.2026Xiaoyin Yang L6-4, 6-1
27.06.2026Chun Chien Hou L7-5, 6-4
09.05.2026Noritaka Koizumi L5-3
04.05.2026Haruto Ishikawa L3-6, 6-3, 1-0
03.05.2026Ryuichiro Nakano W3-6, 6-4, 1-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Luka Pavlovic vs Kangyuan Shi: quick answers

Who won Luka Pavlovic vs Kangyuan Shi?

Luka Pavlovic beat Kangyuan Shi 6-1, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Luka Pavlovic and Kangyuan Shi?

Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Luka Pavlovic 6-1, 6-1 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Luka Pavlovic or Kangyuan Shi?

Luka Pavlovic is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Kangyuan Shi is 2-8 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Luka Pavlovic and Kangyuan Shi?

Luka Pavlovic is rated 6606 (ATP #345) and Kangyuan Shi is rated 6027 (ATP #2739). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Luka Pavlovic vs Kangyuan Shi?

Luka Pavlovic is priced at -2500 and Kangyuan Shi at +750, which implies a 96% and 12% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.