Kaito Uesugi vs Yosuke Watanuki
Updated
Yosuke Watanuki beat Kaito Uesugi 6-2, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Yosuke Watanuki leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Uesugi is 2-6 in their last 10, Watanuki 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Yosuke Watanuki a 88% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yosuke Watanuki at -2000 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kaito Uesugi | Yosuke Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6333 | 6707 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1029 | ATP #208 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 2-6 | 18-17 |
| UTR | 13.49 | 14.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1526 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Yosuke Watanuki leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | 6-2, 6-2 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Kaito Uesugi, last 8
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Yuquan Jin | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Alexandr Binda | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Ji Sung Nam | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 30.08.2026 | Koki Matsuda | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 22.06.2026 | Luca Potenza | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.06.2026 | Maxime Janvier | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 16.11.2025 | Yuta Kikuchi | L | 0-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
Yosuke Watanuki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Marin Cilic | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kaito Uesugi | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Semen Pankin | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Chun Hsin Tseng | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Semen Pankin | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Kaito Uesugi 12% at +675
Kaito Uesugi vs Yosuke Watanuki: quick answers
Who won Kaito Uesugi vs Yosuke Watanuki?
Yosuke Watanuki beat Kaito Uesugi 6-2, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Kaito Uesugi and Yosuke Watanuki?
Yosuke Watanuki leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Yosuke Watanuki 6-2, 6-2 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Kaito Uesugi or Yosuke Watanuki?
Kaito Uesugi is 2-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Yosuke Watanuki is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kaito Uesugi and Yosuke Watanuki?
Kaito Uesugi is rated 6333 (ATP #1029) and Yosuke Watanuki is rated 6707 (ATP #208). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kaito Uesugi vs Yosuke Watanuki?
Kaito Uesugi is priced at +675 and Yosuke Watanuki at -2000, which implies a 13% and 95% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.