Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlyn Carnicella
Updated
Kaitlyn Carnicella beat Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 6-1, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Kajsa Rinaldo Persson at 93%. Kaitlyn Carnicella leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Persson is 7-3 in their last 10, Carnicella 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kajsa Rinaldo Persson a 93% favorite. At -455 the sportsbook implies 82% for Kajsa Rinaldo Persson, 11 points below the model's 93%.
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kajsa Rinaldo Persson at -455 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | Kaitlyn Carnicella | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6732 | 6480 |
| Tour rank | WTA #253 | WTA #582 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 1 Win |
| Season record | 38-29 | 29-16 |
| UTR | 11.71 | 10.89 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1474 | – |
| Best surface | Clay | – |
| Worst surface | Grass | – |
Head to head
Kaitlyn Carnicella leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Kaitlyn Carnicella | 6-1, 6-3 | USA Lexington |
Recent form
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Margaux Rouvroy | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Clemence Mercier | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Mimi Xu | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Reese Brantmeier | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sara Saito | W | 6-2, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Victoria Hu | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Isabella Marton | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kaitlyn Carnicella | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Ema Burgic | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 23.09.2026 | Maria Timofeeva | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
Kaitlyn Carnicella, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Arantxa Rus | W | 6-2, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | W | 6-3, 3-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Helena Buchwald | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Mia Slama | L | 7-5, 2-6, 6-0 |
| 26.09.2026 | Vivian Yang | W | 4-6, 6-0, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Irina Balus | L | 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Linea Bajraliu | W | 7-5, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Kyoka Kubo | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlyn Carnicella: quick answers
Who won Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlyn Carnicella?
Kaitlyn Carnicella beat Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 6-1, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Kajsa Rinaldo Persson at 93%.
What is the head-to-head record between Kajsa Rinaldo Persson and Kaitlyn Carnicella?
Kaitlyn Carnicella leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Kaitlyn Carnicella 6-1, 6-3 at USA Lexington.
Who is in better form, Kajsa Rinaldo Persson or Kaitlyn Carnicella?
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Kaitlyn Carnicella is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kajsa Rinaldo Persson and Kaitlyn Carnicella?
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson is rated 6732 (WTA #253) and Kaitlyn Carnicella is rated 6480 (WTA #582). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlyn Carnicella?
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson is priced at -455 and Kaitlyn Carnicella at +259, which implies a 82% and 28% chance to win. The model rates Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 11 points higher than the odds do (93% vs 82%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.