Kailey Evans vs Lea Ma
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lea Ma, giving them a 90% chance to win against Kailey Evans (10%). Evans is 7-3 in their last 10, Ma 7-3. At -345, the odds imply 78% for Lea Ma, below the model's 90%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lea Ma a 90% favorite. At -345 the sportsbook implies 78% for Lea Ma, 12 points below the model's 90%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lea Ma at -345 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kailey Evans | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6351 | 6644 |
| Tour rank | WTA #850 | WTA #340 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 45-20 | 34-26 |
| UTR | 10.82 | 11.5 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1431 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Kailey Evans and Lea Ma haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Kailey Evans, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.09.2026 | Carmen Andreea Herea | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Alina Shcherbinina | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Hanna Chang | L | 7-5, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Katja Wiersholm | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Simone Kay | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 17.09.2026 | Kiara Zabkova | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 16.09.2026 | Alexandra Wolf | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Isabella Pitchford | W | 6-2 |
| 14.09.2026 | Anya Murthy | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 30.08.2026 | Veronica Miroshnichenko | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
Lea Ma, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Teah Chavez | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Rasheeda Mcadoo | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Allegra Korpanec Davies | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Connie Ma | L | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Salma Drugdova | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Sydney Jara | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Hina Inoue | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Linea Bajraliu | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Kailey Evans | Lea Ma |
|---|---|---|
| Ena Koike | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Redding (USA), model gave Kailey Evans 10% at +217
Kailey Evans vs Lea Ma: quick answers
Who will win Kailey Evans vs Lea Ma?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lea Ma, giving them a 90% chance to win against Kailey Evans (10%).
Have Kailey Evans and Lea Ma played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Kailey Evans or Lea Ma?
Kailey Evans is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lea Ma is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kailey Evans and Lea Ma?
Kailey Evans is rated 6351 (WTA #850) and Lea Ma is rated 6644 (WTA #340). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kailey Evans vs Lea Ma?
Kailey Evans is priced at +217 and Lea Ma at -345, which implies a 32% and 78% chance to win. The model rates Lea Ma 12 points higher than the odds do (90% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.