Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida

ATP Guangzhou (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 09:20.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Zhizhen Zhang, giving them a 87% chance to win against Kaichi Uchida (13%). Zhizhen Zhang leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zhang is 3-7 in their last 10, Uchida 3-7.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Zhizhen Zhang a 87% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
87%
Book
90%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model
13%
Book
18%

Model minus book: -5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Zhizhen Zhang at -909 · Model track record

Player comparison

Zhizhen ZhangKaichi Uchida
Tennis Gauge rating67566529
Tour rankATP #151ATP #474
Last 10 matches3-73-7
Last 30 days1-32-4
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record24-2820-33
UTR14.6213.76
Elo (52 weeks)15941283
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Zhizhen Zhang leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Zhizhen Zhang7-6, 6-3China Guangzhou

Recent form

Zhizhen Zhang, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Rei Sakamoto L6-0, 6-4
26.10.2026Marin Cilic W7-6, 2-6, 6-3
21.10.2026Yi Zhou L6-3, 6-4
20.10.2026Kaichi Uchida W7-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Tomas Machac L1-6, 7-6, 6-2
30.09.2026Arthur Gea L6-4, 6-3
24.09.2026Coleman Wong L6-3, 6-3
29.07.2026J J Wolf L7-6, 3-6, 6-4
22.07.2026Charles Broom L2-6, 7-6, 6-2
21.07.2026Tyler Zink W7-6, 6-3

Kaichi Uchida, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Harold Mayot L6-2, 6-3
26.10.2026Ognjen Milic W7-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Zhizhen Zhang L7-6, 6-3
12.10.2026Ilya Ivashka L6-2, 6-4
11.10.2026Jesse Delaney W6-2, 7-5
08.10.2026Ryan Seggerman L4-6, 7-5, 6-4
06.10.2026Masamichi Imamura W7-6, 6-2
22.09.2026Federico Cina L6-1, 6-2
14.09.2026Rio Noguchi L3-6, 6-2, 6-3
07.9.2026Linang Xiao L6-3, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentZhizhen ZhangKaichi Uchida
Justin Boulais 0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
Rei Sakamoto 1-1
L 6-0, 6-4, W 6-1, 6-4
0-1
L 4-6, 7-6, 6-4

Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida: quick answers

Who will win Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Zhizhen Zhang, giving them a 87% chance to win against Kaichi Uchida (13%).

What is the head-to-head record between Zhizhen Zhang and Kaichi Uchida?

Zhizhen Zhang leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Zhizhen Zhang 7-6, 6-3 at China Guangzhou.

Who is in better form, Zhizhen Zhang or Kaichi Uchida?

Zhizhen Zhang is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Kaichi Uchida is 3-7 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Zhizhen Zhang and Kaichi Uchida?

Zhizhen Zhang is rated 6756 (ATP #151) and Kaichi Uchida is rated 6529 (ATP #474). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida?

Zhizhen Zhang is priced at -909 and Kaichi Uchida at +464, which implies a 90% and 18% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.