Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol

ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), Clay. Sunday, October 18, 2026, 05:40.

Updated

Kai Wehnelt beat Milos Karol 6-3, 3-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Milos Karol at 54%. Kai Wehnelt leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Wehnelt is 5-5 in their last 10, Karol 5-5.

Result: Kai Wehnelt beat Milos Karol 6-3, 3-6, 6-2. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Milos Karol.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Milos Karol a 54% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
46%
Book
46%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
54%
Book
63%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Milos Karol at -167 · Model track record

Player comparison

Kai WehneltMilos Karol
Tennis Gauge rating65636578
Tour rankATP #401ATP #386
Last 10 matches5-55-5
Last 30 days2-33-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record39-2828-18
UTR14.0414.04

Head to head

Kai Wehnelt leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
18.10.2026Kai Wehnelt6-3, 3-6, 6-2Portugal Lisbon

Recent form

Kai Wehnelt, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Alejo Sanchez Quilez L7-6, 3-6, 6-2
18.10.2026Milos Karol W6-3, 3-6, 6-2
13.10.2026Gianluca Cadenasso L6-7, 6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Alex Marti Pujolras W6-3, 6-4
11.10.2026Lorenzo Angelini W6-2, 6-0
27.09.2026Pierluigi Basile L5-7, 6-4, 7-6
20.09.2026Luca Wiedenmann L6-4, 4-0
15.09.2026Kilian Feldbausch L6-2, 6-2
14.09.2026Michael Vrbensky W7-5, 6-2
13.09.2026Marcel Zielinski W6-7, 6-2, 6-2

Milos Karol, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Kai Wehnelt L6-3, 3-6, 6-2
15.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L6-2, 6-0
13.10.2026Florian Broska W6-3, 6-4
12.10.2026Oleksii Krutykh W6-1, 5-7, 7-6
11.10.2026Dali Blanch W6-3, 3-6, 6-3
04.10.2026Tiago Cacao L6-4, 6-4
16.06.2026Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva L6-3, 5-7, 6-3
15.06.2026Luca Castelnuovo W3-6, 6-2, 6-3
14.06.2026Michael Vrbensky W7-6, 6-1
07.06.2026Nicolas Alvarez Varona L6-7, 6-4, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentKai WehneltMilos Karol
Florian Broska 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Michael Vrbensky 1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
Niels Visker 0-1
L 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-17: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Kai Wehnelt 46% at +116

Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol: quick answers

Who won Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol?

Kai Wehnelt beat Milos Karol 6-3, 3-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Milos Karol at 54%.

What is the head-to-head record between Kai Wehnelt and Milos Karol?

Kai Wehnelt leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Kai Wehnelt 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 at Portugal Lisbon.

Who is in better form, Kai Wehnelt or Milos Karol?

Kai Wehnelt is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Milos Karol is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Kai Wehnelt and Milos Karol?

Kai Wehnelt is rated 6563 (ATP #401) and Milos Karol is rated 6578 (ATP #386). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol?

Kai Wehnelt is priced at +116 and Milos Karol at -167, which implies a 46% and 63% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.