Justine Bretnacher vs Kateryna Diatlova
Updated
Justine Bretnacher beat Kateryna Diatlova 6-4, 1-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Kateryna Diatlova at 77%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Bretnacher is 6-4 in their last 10, Diatlova 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kateryna Diatlova a 77% favorite. At +405 the sportsbook implies 20% for Justine Bretnacher, 3 points below the model's 23%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Justine Bretnacher at +405 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Justine Bretnacher | Kateryna Diatlova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5907 | 6290 |
| Tour rank | WTA #2512 | WTA #1035 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 23-18 | 21-18 |
| UTR | 9.51 | 10.27 |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Justine Bretnacher | 6-4, 1-0 | Republic of Moldova Chisinau |
| 15.09.2026 | Kateryna Diatlova | 6-2, 6-3 | Egypt Hurghada X |
Recent form
Justine Bretnacher, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Kristina Kroitor | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Kristina Kroitor | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Kateryna Diatlova | W | 6-4, 1-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Simona Cucu | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Alessia Marinescu | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Romina Hincu | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez | L | 5-7, 6-4, 10-8 |
| 04.10.2026 | Alexia Paula Bastos Sousa Betanzos | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 28.09.2026 | Salma Djoubri | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Carmelle Vial | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
Kateryna Diatlova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Justine Bretnacher | L | 6-4, 1-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Irina Fetecau | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Maria Valentina Pop | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Milana Maslenkova | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 17.09.2026 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Sofia Martianova | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Justine Bretnacher | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Viktoria Kurz | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 10.09.2026 | Selina Atay | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 09.09.2026 | Victoria Allen | W | 1-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: WTA of Moldova Chisinau (X) (Republic of Moldova), model gave Justine Bretnacher 23% at +405
Justine Bretnacher vs Kateryna Diatlova: quick answers
Who won Justine Bretnacher vs Kateryna Diatlova?
Justine Bretnacher beat Kateryna Diatlova 6-4, 1-0, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Kateryna Diatlova at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Justine Bretnacher and Kateryna Diatlova?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Justine Bretnacher 6-4, 1-0 at Republic of Moldova Chisinau.
Who is in better form, Justine Bretnacher or Kateryna Diatlova?
Justine Bretnacher is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Kateryna Diatlova is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Justine Bretnacher and Kateryna Diatlova?
Justine Bretnacher is rated 5907 (WTA #2512) and Kateryna Diatlova is rated 6290 (WTA #1035). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Justine Bretnacher vs Kateryna Diatlova?
Justine Bretnacher is priced at +405 and Kateryna Diatlova at -769, which implies a 20% and 88% chance to win. The model rates Justine Bretnacher 3 points higher than the odds do (23% vs 20%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.