Junri Namigata vs Miyu Kato
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Junri Namigata, giving them a 74% chance to win against Miyu Kato (26%). Namigata is 5-5 in their last 10, Kato 5-5. At +900, the odds imply 10% for Miyu Kato, below the model's 26%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Junri Namigata a 74% favorite. At +900 the sportsbook implies 10% for Miyu Kato, 16 points below the model's 26%.
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Miyu Kato at +900 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Junri Namigata | Miyu Kato | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6199 | 5792 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1314 | WTA #2970 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 37-15 | 9-21 |
| UTR | 10.48 | 8.85 |
Head to head
Junri Namigata and Miyu Kato haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Junri Namigata, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Natsuki Yoshimoto | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Sae Noguchi | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Michiru Furuya | W | 2-6, 6-0, 6-0 |
| 18.10.2026 | Rito Arima | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Nana Kawagishi | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Nana Kawagishi | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.07.2026 | Haruna Arakawa | L | 0-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 18.07.2026 | Ayumi Miyamoto | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.07.2026 | Mayuka Aikawa | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 15.07.2026 | Yui Ohwaki | W | 3-6, 6-0, 6-4 |
Miyu Kato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Michiru Furuya | L | 4-6, 6-0, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ayumi Miyamoto | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Haruka Nishimura | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Rika Oogoshi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Acalia Shamim | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 05.06.2026 | Yua Morishita | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 04.06.2026 | Yuko Wadazumi | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 03.06.2026 | Lucia Gale | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 01.06.2026 | Shizuka Sakurada | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.06.2026 | Kokoro Ishikawa | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Junri Namigata | Miyu Kato |
|---|---|---|
| Ayumi Miyamoto | 1-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-0 |
| Azusa Ishii | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Kanna Soeda | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| Kokoro Ishikawa | 1-0 W 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-2 |
| Kurumi Tamura | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Michiru Furuya | 1-1 W 2-6, 6-0, 6-0, L 7-5, 7-5 |
0-3 L 4-6, 6-0, 6-4, L 6-0, 6-3, L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Minori Natsuka | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Sae Noguchi | 0-2 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3, L 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Sayuri Hata | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Shigeta Mua | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Yua Morishita | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Yui Ohwaki | 4-0 W 3-6, 6-0, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-0 |
| Yuko Wadazumi | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: WTA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Junri Namigata 74% at -2500
Junri Namigata vs Miyu Kato: quick answers
Who will win Junri Namigata vs Miyu Kato?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Junri Namigata, giving them a 74% chance to win against Miyu Kato (26%).
Have Junri Namigata and Miyu Kato played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Junri Namigata or Miyu Kato?
Junri Namigata is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Miyu Kato is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Junri Namigata and Miyu Kato?
Junri Namigata is rated 6199 (WTA #1314) and Miyu Kato is rated 5792 (WTA #2970). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Junri Namigata vs Miyu Kato?
Junri Namigata is priced at -2500 and Miyu Kato at +900, which implies a 96% and 10% chance to win. The model rates Miyu Kato 16 points higher than the odds do (26% vs 10%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.