Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Juncheng Shang

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Monday, October 12, 2026, 07:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Juncheng Shang, giving them a 74% chance to win against Stefanos Sakellaridis (26%). Sakellaridis is 3-7 in their last 10, Shang 3-7. At +370, the odds imply 21% for Stefanos Sakellaridis, below the model's 26%.

This preview is from Monday, October 12, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Juncheng Shang a 74% favorite. At +370 the sportsbook implies 21% for Stefanos Sakellaridis, 4 points below the model's 26%.

Model
26%
Book
21%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model
74%
Book
86%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Stefanos Sakellaridis at +370 · Model track record

Player comparison

Stefanos SakellaridisJuncheng Shang
Tennis Gauge rating67316828
Tour rankATP #172ATP #101
Last 10 matches3-73-7
Last 30 days0-41-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record43-296-13
UTR14.6315.65
Elo (52 weeks)16561718
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Stefanos Sakellaridis and Juncheng Shang haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Stefanos Sakellaridis, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Coleman Wong L6-1, 6-3
27.10.2026Timofey Skatov W6-2, 6-2
19.10.2026Mikhail Kukushkin L7-6, 7-6
18.10.2026Alexander Shevchenko W7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Petr Bar Biryukov W6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Keegan Smith L7-6, 3-6, 6-3
05.10.2026Timofey Skatov L6-3, 6-2
29.09.2026Yuta Shimizu L7-6, 6-2
20.09.2026Norbert Gombos L6-4, 7-6
19.09.2026Alex Molcan L6-1, 6-1

Juncheng Shang, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Lloyd Harris L6-4, 6-3
03.10.2026Alexander Zverev L6-0, 6-3
01.10.2026Sebastian Baez W5-7, 6-3, 7-5
24.09.2026Adrian Mannarino L7-6, 6-2
31.08.2026Marco Trungelliti L0-6, 7-6, 1-6, 6-3, 6-4
14.08.2026Lorenzo Sonego L6-3, 6-3
06.08.2026Luciano Darderi L4-6, 6-1, 6-4
04.08.2026Andrey Rublev W7-5, 4-6, 7-6
02.08.2026Adolfo Daniel Vallejo W6-3, 6-3
27.07.2026Kei Nishikori L6-7, 6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Stefanos Sakellaridis 26% at +370

Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Juncheng Shang: quick answers

Who will win Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Juncheng Shang?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Juncheng Shang, giving them a 74% chance to win against Stefanos Sakellaridis (26%).

Have Stefanos Sakellaridis and Juncheng Shang played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Stefanos Sakellaridis or Juncheng Shang?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Juncheng Shang is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Stefanos Sakellaridis and Juncheng Shang?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is rated 6731 (ATP #172) and Juncheng Shang is rated 6828 (ATP #101). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Juncheng Shang?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is priced at +370 and Juncheng Shang at -625, which implies a 21% and 86% chance to win. The model rates Stefanos Sakellaridis 4 points higher than the odds do (26% vs 21%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.