Julio Cesar Porras vs Pavlos Tsitsipas

ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), Hard. Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 12:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Julio Cesar Porras, giving them a 72% chance to win against Pavlos Tsitsipas (28%). Julio Cesar Porras leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Porras is 4-6 in their last 10, Tsitsipas 4-6.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Julio Cesar Porras a 72% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
72%
Book
73%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
28%
Book
36%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Julio Cesar Porras at -270 · Model track record

Player comparison

Julio Cesar PorrasPavlos Tsitsipas
Tennis Gauge rating63406276
Tour rankATP #997ATP #1247
Last 10 matches4-64-6
Last 30 days2-32-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record33-1828-32
UTR13.4913.14

Head to head

Julio Cesar Porras leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
22.10.2026Julio Cesar Porras6-4, 6-1Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Julio Cesar Porras, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Amit Vales L7-5, 6-3
22.10.2026Pavlos Tsitsipas W6-4, 6-1
21.10.2026Alexander Vasilev W6-3, 7-6
16.10.2026Valentin Gonzalez Galino L6-1, 6-3
15.10.2026Valentin Gonzalez Galino L6-1, 6-3
08.10.2026Daniil Sarksian L6-4, 4-6, 6-4
07.10.2026Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado W6-4, 6-0
01.09.2026Raphael Perot L6-1, 6-2
04.08.2026Benjamin Pietri L1-6, 6-4, 6-0
26.07.2026Clement Lemire W7-5, 7-6

Pavlos Tsitsipas, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Jan Sadzik L6-3, 6-1
28.10.2026Jakub Filip W7-6, 6-4
22.10.2026Julio Cesar Porras L6-4, 6-1
21.10.2026Alexandre Aubriot W6-4, 6-2
08.10.2026Nikita Bilozertsev L7-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Nicholas Campbell W5-7, 7-5, 7-6
21.09.2026Mykyta Mashtakov L6-3, 6-1
20.09.2026Tiago Pereira W6-7, 7-5, 7-6
13.09.2026Robert Strombachs L6-7, 7-6, 6-1
08.09.2026Niccolo Catini L6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJulio Cesar PorrasPavlos Tsitsipas
Benjamin Pietri 0-1
L 1-6, 6-4, 6-0
0-1
L 7-6, 4-6, 6-2
Dino Molokova Ferreira 1-0
W 6-0, 6-0
1-0
W 6-3, 7-6
Mykyta Mashtakov 0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
Pavel Lagutin 0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
0-1
L 6-4, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-27: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Julio Cesar Porras 72% at -270
  • 2026-10-26: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Julio Cesar Porras 72% at -270
  • 2026-10-25: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Julio Cesar Porras 72% at -270
  • 2026-10-24: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Julio Cesar Porras 72% at -270
  • 2026-10-23: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Julio Cesar Porras 72% at -270
  • 2026-10-22: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Julio Cesar Porras 72% at -270
  • 2026-10-21: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Julio Cesar Porras 72% at -270

Julio Cesar Porras vs Pavlos Tsitsipas: quick answers

Who will win Julio Cesar Porras vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Julio Cesar Porras, giving them a 72% chance to win against Pavlos Tsitsipas (28%).

What is the head-to-head record between Julio Cesar Porras and Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Julio Cesar Porras leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Julio Cesar Porras 6-4, 6-1 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Julio Cesar Porras or Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Julio Cesar Porras is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Pavlos Tsitsipas is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Julio Cesar Porras and Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Julio Cesar Porras is rated 6340 (ATP #997) and Pavlos Tsitsipas is rated 6276 (ATP #1247). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Julio Cesar Porras vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Julio Cesar Porras is priced at -270 and Pavlos Tsitsipas at +174, which implies a 73% and 36% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.