Sloane Stephens vs Julieta Pareja
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Sloane Stephens, giving them a 68% chance to win against Julieta Pareja (32%). Sloane Stephens leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stephens is 8-2 in their last 10, Pareja 8-2. At -118, the odds imply 54% for Sloane Stephens, below the model's 68%.
Prediction
The model makes Sloane Stephens a 68% favorite. At -118 the sportsbook implies 54% for Sloane Stephens, 14 points below the model's 68%.
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sloane Stephens at -118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sloane Stephens | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6916 | 6835 |
| Tour rank | WTA #111 | WTA #169 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 8-1 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 3 Wins |
| Season record | 26-20 | 31-14 |
| UTR | 12.17 | 11.96 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1715 | 1645 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Sloane Stephens leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Sloane Stephens | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 | USA Edmond |
Recent form
Sloane Stephens, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Thea Frodin | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ashley Lahey | W | 6-3, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kristina Liutova | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Dana Guzman | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Julieta Pareja | W | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Whitney Osuigwe | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.09.2026 | Peyton Stearns | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
Julieta Pareja, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Barbora Palicova | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Diae El Jardi | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Kristina Penickova | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 17.10.2026 | Sloane Stephens | L | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elizabeth Mandlik | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Varvara Lepchenko | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 02.10.2026 | Caroline Dolehide | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mary Stoiana | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Thea Frodin | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sloane Stephens | Julieta Pareja |
|---|---|---|
| Barbora Palicova | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Kristina Liutova | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-2 L 6-4, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Madison Brengle | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Thea Frodin | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Sloane Stephens 68% at -118
- 2026-10-31: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Sloane Stephens 68% at -118
- 2026-10-30: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Sloane Stephens 68% at -118
Sloane Stephens vs Julieta Pareja: quick answers
Who will win Sloane Stephens vs Julieta Pareja?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Sloane Stephens, giving them a 68% chance to win against Julieta Pareja (32%).
What is the head-to-head record between Sloane Stephens and Julieta Pareja?
Sloane Stephens leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Sloane Stephens 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 at USA Edmond.
Who is in better form, Sloane Stephens or Julieta Pareja?
Sloane Stephens is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Julieta Pareja is 8-2 (current streak: 3 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sloane Stephens and Julieta Pareja?
Sloane Stephens is rated 6916 (WTA #111) and Julieta Pareja is rated 6835 (WTA #169). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sloane Stephens vs Julieta Pareja?
Sloane Stephens is priced at -118 and Julieta Pareja at -125, which implies a 54% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Sloane Stephens 14 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 54%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.