Julian Messina Messina vs Stijn Paardekooper
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Stijn Paardekooper, giving them a 84% chance to win against Julian Messina Messina (16%). Stijn Paardekooper leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Messina is 1-9 in their last 10, Paardekooper 6-4. At 0, the odds imply -0% for Stijn Paardekooper, below the model's 84%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Stijn Paardekooper a 84% favorite. At 0 the sportsbook implies -0% for Stijn Paardekooper, 84 points below the model's 84%.
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model minus book: +84 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Stijn Paardekooper at 0 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Julian Messina Messina | Stijn Paardekooper | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5901 | 6305 |
| Tour rank | ATP #3555 | ATP #1136 |
| Last 10 matches | 1-9 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-5 | 9-5 |
| Current streak | 7 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 3-14 | 71-31 |
| UTR | 11.76 | 13.19 |
Head to head
Stijn Paardekooper leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Stijn Paardekooper | 6-2, 6-3 | USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Julian Messina Messina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Leonard Tramolay | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Stijn Paardekooper | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Ludovico Vaccari | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 26.09.2026 | Tsz Him Chan | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Camille Chantron | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Marc Van Der Merwe | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Tommy Czaplinski | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Ritesh Patil | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | William Landry | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Brayden Tallakson | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
Stijn Paardekooper, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Niksa Arsic | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 24.10.2026 | Thiago Guglieri | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Joseph Patton | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Leonard Tramolay | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Julian Messina Messina | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Dante Carlos Teramo | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Dante Carlos Teramo | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Pablo Roche Alcaya | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Ben Stecker | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Thomas Nicholas Gadecki | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Julian Messina Messina | Stijn Paardekooper |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Corwin | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Leonard Tramolay | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Julian Messina Messina 16% at +810
Julian Messina Messina vs Stijn Paardekooper: quick answers
Who will win Julian Messina Messina vs Stijn Paardekooper?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Stijn Paardekooper, giving them a 84% chance to win against Julian Messina Messina (16%).
What is the head-to-head record between Julian Messina Messina and Stijn Paardekooper?
Stijn Paardekooper leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Stijn Paardekooper 6-2, 6-3 at USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Julian Messina Messina or Stijn Paardekooper?
Julian Messina Messina is 1-9 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 7 Losses). Stijn Paardekooper is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Julian Messina Messina and Stijn Paardekooper?
Julian Messina Messina is rated 5901 (ATP #3555) and Stijn Paardekooper is rated 6305 (ATP #1136). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Julian Messina Messina vs Stijn Paardekooper?
Julian Messina Messina is priced at +810 and Stijn Paardekooper at 0, which implies a 11% and -0% chance to win. The model rates Stijn Paardekooper 84 points higher than the odds do (84% vs -0%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.