Julia Riera vs Solana Sierra

WTA Curitiba (X) (Brazil), Clay. Monday, November 2, 2026, 09:10.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Solana Sierra, giving them a 70% chance to win against Julia Riera (30%). Riera is 5-5 in their last 10, Sierra 3-7. At -122, the odds imply 55% for Solana Sierra, below the model's 70%.

Prediction

The model makes Solana Sierra a 70% favorite. At -122 the sportsbook implies 55% for Solana Sierra, 15 points below the model's 70%.

Model
30%
Book
51%

Model minus book: -21 pts

Model
70%
Book
55%

Model minus book: +15 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Solana Sierra at -122 · Model track record

Player comparison

Julia RieraSolana Sierra
Tennis Gauge rating67986933
Tour rankWTA #197WTA #98
Last 10 matches5-53-7
Last 30 days2-02-0
Current streak2 Wins2 Wins
Season record47-2524-24
UTR11.9712.05
Elo (52 weeks)15881675
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Julia Riera and Solana Sierra haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Julia Riera, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Yasmine Kabbaj W6-2, 6-4
27.10.2026Rebeka Masarova W1-6, 6-4, 6-1
30.09.2026Antonia Ruzic L6-3, 6-4
28.09.2026Anna Siskova W7-5, 6-2
22.09.2026Elena Micic L6-1, 6-3
15.09.2026Elina Avanesyan L6-2, 6-4
11.09.2026Anna Blinkova L6-2, 6-2
10.09.2026Mary Stoiana W4-6, 7-6, 6-3
09.09.2026Dominika Salkova W6-1, 6-3
25.08.2026Viktoria Hruncakova L6-3, 6-4

Solana Sierra, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Gabriela Ce W7-6, 3-6, 6-4
27.10.2026Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W6-3, 6-1
22.09.2026Deniz Dilek L6-3, 6-3
17.09.2026Suzan Lamens L6-3, 6-2
15.09.2026Cadence Brace W6-4, 3-6, 6-1
31.08.2026Elina Svitolina L6-1, 6-2
12.08.2026Aoi Ito L6-1, 6-1
04.08.2026Sloane Stephens L6-3, 6-4
28.07.2026Tatiana Prozorova L6-1, 5-7, 6-2
01.07.2026Coco Gauff L6-3, 3-6, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJulia RieraSolana Sierra
Anna Blinkova 1-1
L 6-2, 6-2, W 0-6, 6-2, 6-1
1-0
W 3-6, 7-5, 6-4
Antonia Ruzic 0-1
L 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
Gabriela Ce 1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
1-0
W 7-6, 3-6, 6-4
Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele 1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
Zeynep Sonmez 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
1-0
W 0-6, 6-2, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: WTA Curitiba (X) (Brazil), model gave Julia Riera 30% at -105
  • 2026-10-31: WTA Curitiba (X) (Brazil), model gave Julia Riera 30% at -105
  • 2026-10-30: WTA Curitiba (X) (Brazil), model gave Julia Riera 30% at -105

Julia Riera vs Solana Sierra: quick answers

Who will win Julia Riera vs Solana Sierra?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Solana Sierra, giving them a 70% chance to win against Julia Riera (30%).

Have Julia Riera and Solana Sierra played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Julia Riera or Solana Sierra?

Julia Riera is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Solana Sierra is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Julia Riera and Solana Sierra?

Julia Riera is rated 6798 (WTA #197) and Solana Sierra is rated 6933 (WTA #98). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Julia Riera vs Solana Sierra?

Julia Riera is priced at -105 and Solana Sierra at -122, which implies a 51% and 55% chance to win. The model rates Solana Sierra 15 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 55%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.