Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Julia Grabher, giving them a 71% chance to win against Maria Lourdes Carle (29%). Julia Grabher leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Carle is 4-6 in their last 10, Grabher 7-3. At -200, the odds imply 67% for Julia Grabher, below the model's 71%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Julia Grabher a 71% favorite. At -200 the sportsbook implies 67% for Julia Grabher, 4 points below the model's 71%.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Julia Grabher at -200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Maria Lourdes Carle | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6759 | 6836 |
| Tour rank | WTA #232 | WTA #168 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 27-30 | 33-26 |
| UTR | 11.66 | 11.96 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1490 | 1651 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Julia Grabher leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Julia Grabher | 7-5, 7-5 | Brazil Curitiba |
Recent form
Maria Lourdes Carle, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Julia Grabher | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Laura Pigossi | W | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kristina Liutova | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | L | 6-2, 0-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Valeriya Strakhova | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Nuria Brancaccio | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Ekaterine Gorgodze | L | 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Rositsa Dencheva | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 10.09.2026 | Eva Vedder | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Gina Feistel | W | 5-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
Julia Grabher, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Maria Lourdes Carle | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Carolina Alves | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lidia Encheva | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Deborah Chiesa | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Dalma Galfi | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Oksana Selekhmeteva | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 25.09.2026 | Nuria Brancaccio | W | 2-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Maria Lourdes Carle | Julia Grabher |
|---|---|---|
| Jeline Vandromme | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
| Jule Niemeier | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Nuria Brancaccio | 0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-1 W 2-6, 6-1, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | 0-1 L 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Rebeka Masarova | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA Curitiba (X) (Brazil), model gave Maria Lourdes Carle 29% at +150
Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher: quick answers
Who will win Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Julia Grabher, giving them a 71% chance to win against Maria Lourdes Carle (29%).
What is the head-to-head record between Maria Lourdes Carle and Julia Grabher?
Julia Grabher leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Julia Grabher 7-5, 7-5 at Brazil Curitiba.
Who is in better form, Maria Lourdes Carle or Julia Grabher?
Maria Lourdes Carle is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Julia Grabher is 7-3 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Maria Lourdes Carle and Julia Grabher?
Maria Lourdes Carle is rated 6759 (WTA #232) and Julia Grabher is rated 6836 (WTA #168). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Maria Lourdes Carle vs Julia Grabher?
Maria Lourdes Carle is priced at +150 and Julia Grabher at -200, which implies a 40% and 67% chance to win. The model rates Julia Grabher 4 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.