Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva
Updated
Lisa Pigato beat Julia Avdeeva 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Lisa Pigato leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pigato is 8-2 in their last 10, Avdeeva 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lisa Pigato a 53% favorite. At +200 the sportsbook implies 33% for Julia Avdeeva, 14 points below the model's 47%.
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Julia Avdeeva at +200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lisa Pigato | Julia Avdeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6844 | 6710 |
| Tour rank | WTA #158 | WTA #274 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 10-0 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 51-20 | 33-24 |
| UTR | 12.01 | 11.43 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1551 | 1485 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Lisa Pigato leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Lisa Pigato | 6-4, 6-4 | Italy Rovereto |
Recent form
Lisa Pigato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Martyna Kubka | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Robin Montgomery | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lucie Havlickova | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Julia Avdeeva | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Eva Vedder | W | 1-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Katie Swan | W | 4-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Polona Hercog | W | 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Adrienn Nagy | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Jasmijn Gimbrere | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 20.09.2026 | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Julia Avdeeva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Eliz Maloney | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Noma Noha Akugue | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Lisa Pigato | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Fiona Crawley | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 17.09.2026 | Hannah Klugman | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 26.08.2026 | Yue Yuan | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.08.2026 | Katherine Sebov | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 14.08.2026 | Alana Smith | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 13.08.2026 | Emily Appleton | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Lisa Pigato | Julia Avdeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Alice Tubello | 1-1 L 6-3, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Anastasiya Soboleva | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-1 |
1-1 L 6-3, 7-6, W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Diana Martynov | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
1-1 L 6-3, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Eva Vedder | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Kathinka Von Deichmann | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
2-0 W 0-6, 6-2, 7-6, W 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| Noma Noha Akugue | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-4 L 6-4, 6-3, L 6-2, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-3, L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Susan Bandecchi | 1-0 W 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: WTA Rovereto (Italy), model gave Lisa Pigato 53% at -303
Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva: quick answers
Who won Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva?
Lisa Pigato beat Julia Avdeeva 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Lisa Pigato and Julia Avdeeva?
Lisa Pigato leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Lisa Pigato 6-4, 6-4 at Italy Rovereto.
Who is in better form, Lisa Pigato or Julia Avdeeva?
Lisa Pigato is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Julia Avdeeva is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lisa Pigato and Julia Avdeeva?
Lisa Pigato is rated 6844 (WTA #158) and Julia Avdeeva is rated 6710 (WTA #274). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva?
Lisa Pigato is priced at -303 and Julia Avdeeva at +200, which implies a 75% and 33% chance to win. The model rates Julia Avdeeva 14 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 33%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.