Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva

WTA Rovereto (Italy), Hard. Monday, October 12, 2026, 09:00.

Updated

Lisa Pigato beat Julia Avdeeva 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Lisa Pigato leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pigato is 8-2 in their last 10, Avdeeva 4-6.

Result: Lisa Pigato beat Julia Avdeeva 6-4, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lisa Pigato a 53% favorite. At +200 the sportsbook implies 33% for Julia Avdeeva, 14 points below the model's 47%.

Model
53%
Book
75%

Model minus book: -22 pts

Model
47%
Book
33%

Model minus book: +14 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Julia Avdeeva at +200 · Model track record

Player comparison

Lisa PigatoJulia Avdeeva
Tennis Gauge rating68446710
Tour rankWTA #158WTA #274
Last 10 matches8-24-6
Last 30 days10-02-1
Current streak1 Loss4 Losses
Season record51-2033-24
UTR12.0111.43
Elo (52 weeks)15511485
Best surfaceClayHard
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Lisa Pigato leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
12.10.2026Lisa Pigato6-4, 6-4Italy Rovereto

Recent form

Lisa Pigato, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Martyna Kubka L6-2, 6-1
28.10.2026Robin Montgomery W6-0, 7-6
14.10.2026Lucie Havlickova L6-0, 6-1
12.10.2026Julia Avdeeva W6-4, 6-4
04.10.2026Eva Vedder W1-6, 6-0, 6-3
03.10.2026Katie Swan W4-0
02.10.2026Polona Hercog W7-5, 4-6, 6-2
01.10.2026Adrienn Nagy W6-4, 6-2
30.09.2026Jasmijn Gimbrere W6-1, 6-1
20.09.2026Gabriela Andrea Knutson W6-4, 6-2

Julia Avdeeva, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Eliz Maloney L6-3, 6-3
21.10.2026Noma Noha Akugue L6-4, 6-3
12.10.2026Lisa Pigato L6-4, 6-4
18.09.2026Fiona Crawley L6-4, 6-1
17.09.2026Hannah Klugman W6-4, 6-4
16.09.2026Astrid Lew Yan Foon W6-3, 6-0
26.08.2026Yue Yuan L6-3, 6-2
25.08.2026Katherine Sebov W7-6, 6-1
14.08.2026Alana Smith L7-6, 6-3
13.08.2026Emily Appleton W6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentLisa PigatoJulia Avdeeva
Alice Tubello 1-1
L 6-3, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Anastasiya Soboleva 1-0
W 6-2, 4-1
1-1
L 6-3, 7-6, W 7-6, 6-4
Diana Martynov 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
1-1
L 6-3, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-1
Eva Vedder 1-0
W 1-6, 6-0, 6-3
1-0
W 1-6, 6-3, 6-2
Kathinka Von Deichmann 1-0
W 6-1, 6-2
2-0
W 0-6, 6-2, 7-6, W 6-3, 2-6, 6-4
Noma Noha Akugue 0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
0-4
L 6-4, 6-3, L 6-2, 6-3, L 6-4, 6-3, L 6-2, 6-1
Susan Bandecchi 1-0
W 6-4, 1-6, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-11: WTA Rovereto (Italy), model gave Lisa Pigato 53% at -303

Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva: quick answers

Who won Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva?

Lisa Pigato beat Julia Avdeeva 6-4, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Lisa Pigato and Julia Avdeeva?

Lisa Pigato leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Lisa Pigato 6-4, 6-4 at Italy Rovereto.

Who is in better form, Lisa Pigato or Julia Avdeeva?

Lisa Pigato is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Julia Avdeeva is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Lisa Pigato and Julia Avdeeva?

Lisa Pigato is rated 6844 (WTA #158) and Julia Avdeeva is rated 6710 (WTA #274). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Lisa Pigato vs Julia Avdeeva?

Lisa Pigato is priced at -303 and Julia Avdeeva at +200, which implies a 75% and 33% chance to win. The model rates Julia Avdeeva 14 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 33%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.