Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano vs Juan Sebastian Osorio

ATP Quito (X) (Ecuador), Clay. Saturday, October 17, 2026, 10:30.

Updated

Juan Sebastian Osorio beat Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano at 74%. Juan Sebastian Osorio leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Serrano is 6-4 in their last 10, Osorio 6-4.

Result: Juan Sebastian Osorio beat Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano 6-2, 4-6, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano a 74% favorite. At -200 the sportsbook implies 67% for Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano, 7 points below the model's 74%.

Model
74%
Book
67%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
26%
Book
43%

Model minus book: -17 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano at -200 · Model track record

Player comparison

Juan Alejandro Hernandez SerranoJuan Sebastian Osorio
Tennis Gauge rating64756360
Tour rankATP #576ATP #914
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days6-18-4
Current streak3 Wins1 Loss
Season record30-2929-19
UTR13.4913.2
Elo (52 weeks)1269–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Juan Sebastian Osorio leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
17.10.2026Juan Sebastian Osorio6-2, 4-6, 6-3Ecuador Quito

Recent form

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Alvaro Guillen Meza W6-4, 6-3
26.10.2026Filip Misolic W6-4, 6-4
25.10.2026Jose Pereira W6-1, 1-0
20.10.2026Gustavo Heide L6-4, 3-6, 6-3
20.10.2026Gustavo Heide L6-4, 3-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Franco Ribero L6-2, 6-2
18.10.2026Matteo Covato W7-5, 6-4
17.10.2026Juan Sebastian Osorio L6-2, 4-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Ivan Dreycopp W6-3, 4-6, 6-3
15.10.2026Felipe De Dios W6-2, 2-6, 6-4

Juan Sebastian Osorio, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Lucas Andrade Da Silva L6-4, 7-5
17.10.2026Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano W6-2, 4-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Tristan Mccormick W6-3, 7-5
15.10.2026Ryan Fishback W6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Mateo Del Pino W7-5, 6-1
08.10.2026Victor Bini L6-2, 2-6, 7-6
06.10.2026Tadeo Meneo W7-5, 6-4
28.09.2026Samuel Heredia L7-6, 5-7, 6-4
27.09.2026Jefferson Wendler Filho W6-1, 6-2
25.09.2026Pedro Sakamoto L6-2, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJuan Alejandro Hernandez SerranoJuan Sebastian Osorio
Hernan Casanova 0-1
L 6-2, 4-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
Jefferson Wendler Filho 1-0
W 6-0, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 6-2
Karl Poling 1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias 1-0
W 6-1, 6-0
1-0
W 6-2, 4-6, 6-1
Nicolas Oliveira 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-1
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4
Tristan Mccormick 0-1
L 6-7, 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-16: ATP Quito (X) (Ecuador), model gave Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano 74% at -200

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano vs Juan Sebastian Osorio: quick answers

Who won Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano vs Juan Sebastian Osorio?

Juan Sebastian Osorio beat Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano at 74%.

What is the head-to-head record between Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano and Juan Sebastian Osorio?

Juan Sebastian Osorio leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Juan Sebastian Osorio 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 at Ecuador Quito.

Who is in better form, Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano or Juan Sebastian Osorio?

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Juan Sebastian Osorio is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano and Juan Sebastian Osorio?

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano is rated 6475 (ATP #576) and Juan Sebastian Osorio is rated 6360 (ATP #914). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano vs Juan Sebastian Osorio?

Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano is priced at -200 and Juan Sebastian Osorio at +130, which implies a 67% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano 7 points higher than the odds do (74% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.