Luca Castagnola vs Josh Manuel
Updated
Luca Castagnola beat Josh Manuel 6-3, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Luca Castagnola leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Castagnola is 5-5 in their last 10, Manuel 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Luca Castagnola a 80% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luca Castagnola at -400 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luca Castagnola | Josh Manuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6382 | 6166 |
| Tour rank | ATP #853 | ATP #1783 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 29-34 | 21-33 |
| UTR | 13.43 | 12.1 |
Head to head
Luca Castagnola leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Luca Castagnola | 6-3, 6-3 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Luca Castagnola, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Jake Fellows | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Patric Prinoth | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sergio Callejon Hernando | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sergio Callejon Hernando | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Kasra Rahmani | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Josh Manuel | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Robert Strombachs | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Jan Werblinski | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 24.09.2026 | Faris Zakaryia | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Jan Hrazdil | W | 7-6, 6-0 |
Josh Manuel, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Liam Gavrielides | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Liam Gavrielides | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Luca Castagnola | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Leandro Zgraggen | L | 3-6, 6-1, 1-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Taentawan Taddeo Majoli Maggioli | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Jan-Niklas Buchwald | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 10.09.2026 | Lucca Liu | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 09.09.2026 | Aziz Ouakaa | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 03.09.2026 | Cesar Bouchelaghem | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Nav Dayal | W | 3-6, 6-0, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Luca Castagnola | Josh Manuel |
|---|---|---|
| Dominik Recek | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-0 |
| Jan Kupcic | 0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), model gave Luca Castagnola 80% at -400
Luca Castagnola vs Josh Manuel: quick answers
Who won Luca Castagnola vs Josh Manuel?
Luca Castagnola beat Josh Manuel 6-3, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Luca Castagnola and Josh Manuel?
Luca Castagnola leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Luca Castagnola 6-3, 6-3 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Luca Castagnola or Josh Manuel?
Luca Castagnola is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Josh Manuel is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luca Castagnola and Josh Manuel?
Luca Castagnola is rated 6382 (ATP #853) and Josh Manuel is rated 6166 (ATP #1783). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luca Castagnola vs Josh Manuel?
Luca Castagnola is priced at -400 and Josh Manuel at +244, which implies a 80% and 29% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.