Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mateus Alves, giving them a 78% chance to win against Jose Pereira (22%). Jose Pereira leads 3-1 in their head-to-head. Pereira is 6-4 in their last 10, Alves 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mateus Alves a 78% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model minus book: -3 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mateus Alves at -417 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jose Pereira | Mateus Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6401 | 6444 |
| Tour rank | ATP #782 | ATP #655 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 24-17 | 40-20 |
| UTR | 13.2 | 13.85 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1246 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Jose Pereira leads 3-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | 6-3, 6-1 | Colombia Cali |
| 05.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | 6-3, 6-3 | Chile Antofagasta |
| 29.09.2026 | Mateus Alves | 6-2, 1-6, 6-4 | Brazil Curitiba |
| 04.08.2026 | Jose Pereira | 5-2 | Brazil Londrina |
Recent form
Jose Pereira, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | L | 6-1, 1-0 |
| 20.10.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mateus Alves | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Tristan Mccormick | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Lautaro Midon | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Mateus Alves | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Arklon Huertas Del Pino | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Mateus Alves | L | 6-2, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Ryan Dickerson | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Rafael Tosetto | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
Mateus Alves, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Bernardo Munk Mesa | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Thiago Seyboth Wild | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Bruno Fernandez | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jose Pereira | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Bautista De La Pena | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Gonzalo Villanueva | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Jose Pereira | W | 6-2, 1-6, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Pedro Sakamoto | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 26.09.2026 | Wilson Leite | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jose Pereira | Mateus Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio | 1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-5 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 7-6 |
| Rafael Tosetto | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-1, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Salvador Price | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Wilson Leite | 2-1 L 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-2, 3-0 |
2-0 W 7-5, 6-2, W 6-1, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Mateus Alves 78% at -303
- 2026-10-18: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Mateus Alves 78% at -303
Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves: quick answers
Who will win Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mateus Alves, giving them a 78% chance to win against Jose Pereira (22%).
What is the head-to-head record between Jose Pereira and Mateus Alves?
Jose Pereira leads 3-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Jose Pereira 6-3, 6-1 at Colombia Cali.
Who is in better form, Jose Pereira or Mateus Alves?
Jose Pereira is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Mateus Alves is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jose Pereira and Mateus Alves?
Jose Pereira is rated 6401 (ATP #782) and Mateus Alves is rated 6444 (ATP #655). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jose Pereira vs Mateus Alves?
Jose Pereira is priced at +243 and Mateus Alves at -417, which implies a 29% and 81% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.