Jorge Plans vs Sergey Petrov

ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 12:00.

Updated

Sergey Petrov beat Jorge Plans 6-3, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jorge Plans at 72%. Sergey Petrov leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Plans is 5-5 in their last 10, Petrov 6-4.

Result: Sergey Petrov beat Jorge Plans 6-3, 6-1. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Jorge Plans.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jorge Plans a 72% favorite. At -125 the sportsbook implies 56% for Jorge Plans, 17 points below the model's 72%.

Model
72%
Book
56%

Model minus book: +17 pts

Model
28%
Book
54%

Model minus book: -26 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Jorge Plans at -125 · Model track record

Player comparison

Jorge PlansSergey Petrov
Tennis Gauge rating62976318
Tour rankATP #1166ATP #1086
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days1-20-1
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record18-2632-19
UTR13.312.94

Head to head

Sergey Petrov leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Sergey Petrov6-3, 6-1Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI

Recent form

Jorge Plans, last 10

DateOpponentScore
14.10.2026Sergey Petrov L6-3, 6-1
08.10.2026Rihards Neimanis L6-3, 6-3
07.10.2026Oskari Eerola W7-6, 6-2
15.09.2026Jacopo Bilardo L6-3, 2-6, 6-2
05.09.2026Aziz Dougaz L6-2, 6-2
04.09.2026Aziz Ouakaa W6-4, 6-3
03.09.2026Hugo Cardinaud W6-1, 6-3
02.09.2026Mohamed Ali Abibsi W4-6, 6-2, 6-3
27.08.2026Louis Larue L4-6, 7-6, 5-2
25.08.2026Samir Hamza Reguig W6-1, 6-4

Sergey Petrov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026David Eichenseher L6-3, 6-1
27.10.2026Roman Kharlamov W6-3, 3-6, 6-1
24.10.2026Oskari Paldanius L6-4, 6-2
23.10.2026Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine W6-4, 6-1
22.10.2026Aaron Funk W6-4, 6-4
21.10.2026Marat Salbiev W6-0, 6-1
16.10.2026Oskari Paldanius L6-1, 7-6
16.10.2026Oskari Paldanius L6-1, 7-6
15.10.2026Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine W6-3, 6-1
14.10.2026Jorge Plans W6-3, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJorge PlansSergey Petrov
Leonardo Rossi 0-1
L 6-0, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Millen Hurrion 0-1
L 7-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-3, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), model gave Jorge Plans 72% at -125

Jorge Plans vs Sergey Petrov: quick answers

Who won Jorge Plans vs Sergey Petrov?

Sergey Petrov beat Jorge Plans 6-3, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jorge Plans at 72%.

What is the head-to-head record between Jorge Plans and Sergey Petrov?

Sergey Petrov leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Sergey Petrov 6-3, 6-1 at Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI.

Who is in better form, Jorge Plans or Sergey Petrov?

Jorge Plans is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Sergey Petrov is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Jorge Plans and Sergey Petrov?

Jorge Plans is rated 6297 (ATP #1166) and Sergey Petrov is rated 6318 (ATP #1086). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Jorge Plans vs Sergey Petrov?

Jorge Plans is priced at -125 and Sergey Petrov at -118, which implies a 56% and 54% chance to win. The model rates Jorge Plans 17 points higher than the odds do (72% vs 56%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.