Theo Papamalamis vs Johan Oscar Lien

ATP Lexington (X) (USA), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 09:00.

Updated

Theo Papamalamis beat Johan Oscar Lien 6-2, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Theo Papamalamis leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Papamalamis is 8-2 in their last 10, Lien 5-5.

Result: Theo Papamalamis beat Johan Oscar Lien 6-2, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Theo Papamalamis a 59% favorite. At +348 the sportsbook implies 22% for Johan Oscar Lien, 18 points below the model's 41%.

Model
59%
Book
87%

Model minus book: -28 pts

Model
41%
Book
22%

Model minus book: +18 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Johan Oscar Lien at +348 · Model track record

Player comparison

Theo PapamalamisJohan Oscar Lien
Tennis Gauge rating64746352
Tour rankATP #577ATP #945
Last 10 matches8-25-5
Last 30 days6-12-0
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record46-2018-17
UTR13.7913.19

Head to head

Theo Papamalamis leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Theo Papamalamis6-2, 7-6USA Lexington

Recent form

Theo Papamalamis, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Alastair Gray L7-6, 7-5
28.10.2026Alex Rybakov W6-4, 6-7, 7-6
18.10.2026Jack Anthrop W2-6, 7-5, 6-2
17.10.2026Nikola Slavic W6-1, 7-6
16.10.2026Johan Oscar Lien W6-2, 7-6
15.10.2026Hoyoung Roh W6-2, 6-3
13.10.2026Matei Cristian Onofrei W6-1, 6-4
04.10.2026Dominick Mosejczuk L6-3, 6-3
03.10.2026Sasha Rozin W6-3, 6-2
02.10.2026Aryan Shah W6-1, 3-6, 7-5

Johan Oscar Lien, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Theo Papamalamis L6-2, 7-6
15.10.2026Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas W6-3, 6-4
14.10.2026Youcef Rihane W3-6, 6-4, 1-0
10.10.2026Matei Daniel Stan W6-2, 6-1
10.10.2026Lorenzo Balducci L5-7, 6-3, 7-6
09.10.2026Ariel Zauber W6-3, 6-1
22.09.2026Daniel Uta W6-1, 6-2
21.09.2026Aryan Shah L6-4, 6-3
29.07.2026Valdemar Frederik Pape L6-3, 3-6, 6-3
16.07.2026Oleksii Krutykh L6-4, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentTheo PapamalamisJohan Oscar Lien
Aryan Shah 1-0
W 6-1, 3-6, 7-5
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Timeo Trufelli 1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Lexington (X) (USA), model gave Theo Papamalamis 59% at -667

Theo Papamalamis vs Johan Oscar Lien: quick answers

Who won Theo Papamalamis vs Johan Oscar Lien?

Theo Papamalamis beat Johan Oscar Lien 6-2, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Theo Papamalamis and Johan Oscar Lien?

Theo Papamalamis leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Theo Papamalamis 6-2, 7-6 at USA Lexington.

Who is in better form, Theo Papamalamis or Johan Oscar Lien?

Theo Papamalamis is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Johan Oscar Lien is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Theo Papamalamis and Johan Oscar Lien?

Theo Papamalamis is rated 6474 (ATP #577) and Johan Oscar Lien is rated 6352 (ATP #945). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Theo Papamalamis vs Johan Oscar Lien?

Theo Papamalamis is priced at -667 and Johan Oscar Lien at +348, which implies a 87% and 22% chance to win. The model rates Johan Oscar Lien 18 points higher than the odds do (41% vs 22%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.