Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Maria Andrienko

WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (IX) II (Italy), Clay. Thursday, October 8, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Maria Andrienko 6-3, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Steur is 7-3 in their last 10, Andrienko 7-3.

Result: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Maria Andrienko 6-3, 6-0. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur a 94% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
94%
Book
96%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model
6%
Book
11%

Model minus book: -5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur at -2500 · Model track record

Player comparison

Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurMaria Andrienko
Tennis Gauge rating66876301
Tour rankWTA #297WTA #990
Last 10 matches7-37-3
Last 30 days8-24-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record53-2533-23
UTR11.6310.24
Elo (52 weeks)1300–
Best surfaceHard–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur6-3, 6-0Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula

Recent form

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Tamara Zidansek L6-2, 6-1
13.10.2026Mina Hodzic W6-4, 6-3
11.10.2026Lisa Zaar W7-6, 3-6, 7-6
10.10.2026Alessandra Mazzola W6-4, 6-3
09.10.2026Maria Andrienko W6-3, 6-0
08.10.2026Carla Giambelli W6-1, 6-1
07.10.2026Nellie Taraba Wallberg W6-3, 4-6, 6-3
24.09.2026Marie Mettraux L6-1, 7-5
23.09.2026Carla Giambelli W6-2, 6-4
19.09.2026Clara Burel L6-1, 6-4

Maria Andrienko, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Noemi Maines L6-3, 6-0
21.10.2026Isabel Pascual Montalvo W6-3, 6-1
20.10.2026Anna Boron W7-5, 6-1
20.10.2026Anna Boron W7-5, 6-1
15.10.2026Nina Radovanovic L6-3, 6-0
14.10.2026Carolina Bohrer Martins W7-5, 6-2
13.10.2026Caterina Odorizzi W6-0, 6-2
09.10.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur L6-3, 6-0
08.10.2026Natalija Senic W6-4, 6-4
07.10.2026Nicole Andrea Molaro W6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJoelle Lilly Sophie SteurMaria Andrienko
Alyssa Reguer 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 6-3
Annemarie Lazar 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
1-0
W 6-7, 6-1, 10-4
Charlotte Van Zonneveld 1-0
W 6-0, 6-1
1-0
W 2-6, 6-4, 10-7
Isabel Pascual Montalvo 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
Luisa Fusil 1-0
W 6-1, 6-0
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Natalija Senic 1-0
W 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 6-4, 6-4

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Maria Andrienko: quick answers

Who won Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Maria Andrienko?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Maria Andrienko 6-3, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Maria Andrienko?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 6-3, 6-0 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.

Who is in better form, Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur or Maria Andrienko?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Maria Andrienko is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Maria Andrienko?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is rated 6687 (WTA #297) and Maria Andrienko is rated 6301 (WTA #990). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Maria Andrienko?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is priced at -2500 and Maria Andrienko at +800, which implies a 96% and 11% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.