Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lisa Zaar

WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (IX) II (Italy), Clay. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Lisa Zaar 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Steur is 7-3 in their last 10, Zaar 6-4.

Result: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Lisa Zaar 7-6, 3-6, 7-6. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur a 51% favorite. At +130 the sportsbook implies 43% for Lisa Zaar, 5 points below the model's 49%.

Model
51%
Book
66%

Model minus book: -15 pts

Lisa Zaar +130
Model
49%
Book
43%

Model minus book: +5 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lisa Zaar at +130 · Model track record

Player comparison

Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurLisa Zaar
Tennis Gauge rating66876704
Tour rankWTA #297WTA #278
Last 10 matches7-36-4
Last 30 days10-27-2
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record53-2541-28
UTR11.6311.57
Elo (52 weeks)13001395
Best surfaceHardGrass
Worst surfaceClayHard

Head to head

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur7-6, 3-6, 7-6Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula

Recent form

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Tamara Zidansek L6-2, 6-1
13.10.2026Mina Hodzic W6-4, 6-3
11.10.2026Lisa Zaar W7-6, 3-6, 7-6
10.10.2026Alessandra Mazzola W6-4, 6-3
09.10.2026Maria Andrienko W6-3, 6-0
08.10.2026Carla Giambelli W6-1, 6-1
07.10.2026Nellie Taraba Wallberg W6-3, 4-6, 6-3
24.09.2026Marie Mettraux L6-1, 7-5
23.09.2026Carla Giambelli W6-2, 6-4
19.09.2026Clara Burel L6-1, 6-4

Lisa Zaar, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Ayla Aksu L6-4, 6-3
13.10.2026Matilde Jorge L6-1, 7-5
11.10.2026Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur L7-6, 3-6, 7-6
10.10.2026Jessica Pieri W4-0
09.10.2026Deborah Chiesa W6-4, 6-3
08.10.2026Sara Cakarevic W3-6, 6-4, 6-3
07.10.2026Sofia Rocchetti W6-2, 6-4
22.09.2026Rebeka Masarova L5-7, 6-1, 7-5
21.09.2026Enola Chiesa W3-6, 6-3, 7-6
20.09.2026Arianna Ovarelli W6-2, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJoelle Lilly Sophie SteurLisa Zaar
Alena Kovackova 1-2
L 4-6, 6-4, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-1, 7-5
Deborah Chiesa 0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Georgia Pedone 2-0
W 6-1, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
Julia Grabher 0-1
L 6-4, 6-0
1-0
W 6-0, 6-1
Lia Karatancheva 1-0
W 6-1, 1-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Nellie Taraba Wallberg 1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
Weronika Falkowska 1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
1-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 4-0
Zhibek Kulambayeva 1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
0-1
L 7-6, 6-3

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lisa Zaar: quick answers

Who won Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lisa Zaar?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur beat Lisa Zaar 7-6, 3-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Lisa Zaar?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.

Who is in better form, Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur or Lisa Zaar?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lisa Zaar is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur and Lisa Zaar?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is rated 6687 (WTA #297) and Lisa Zaar is rated 6704 (WTA #278). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Lisa Zaar?

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur is priced at -196 and Lisa Zaar at +130, which implies a 66% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Lisa Zaar 5 points higher than the odds do (49% vs 43%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.